Transport Decisions in an Age of Uncertainty : Proceedings of the Third World Conference on Transport Research Rotterdam, 26 – 28 April, 1977

Front Matter....Pages 1-9 Foreword....Pages 10-11 Liste des Présidents....Pages 13-13 Welcome speech....Pages 15-16 Trends in thinking on traffic and transport policy in recent decades and the role of research on which policy is based....Pages 17-19 Allocution....Pages 20-22 Allocution....Pages 23-24 A development banker’s view....Pages 25-28 Keynote address....Pages 29-30 An agenda for urban transportation....Pages 31-34 Tendances de la recherche dans les transports urbains Un point de vue....Pages 35-38 Urban mass transportation in India....Pages 39-44 Urban transportation policy in Poland....Pages 45-53 Application of Research Works to Metropolitan Transportation Development....Pages 54-58 The relationship of research to decisionmaking in intercontinental traffic....Pages 59-64 Transport decisions in an age of uncertainty Trends in port research....Pages 65-77 Policy applications of research on the development and evaluation of air fares on the North Atlantic....Pages 78-83 Intercontinental transportation and the Marine Container System....Pages 84-96 The Northeast Corridor: has research influenced policy?....Pages 97-105 Intercity passenger transport travel in Egypt, performance and problems....Pages 106-110 Conclusions from Action 33....Pages 111-115 Long distance passenger transport: The Australian experience....Pages 116-122 National Traffic Planning in Developed Countries — Taking the Federal Republic of Germany as an Example....Pages 123-128 An equilibrium mode-split model of work trips along a transportation corridor....Pages 129-136 The theory and practice of car ownership forecasting....Pages 137-144 Report on investigations of household travel decision making behavior....Pages 145-158 Aggregate forecasting with dissaggregate travel demand models using normally available data....Pages 159-166 Decision issues and research priorities in intercity freight transportation: a U.S. perspective....Pages 167-171 Transport policy and regional policy in the European Communities....Pages 172-175 Planning for inland navigation in Western Europe....Pages 176-182 Passenger travel demand forecasting: applications of disaggregate models and directions for research....Pages 183-193 Equilibrium between travel demand system supply and urban structure....Pages 194-199 Personal travel in towns: the development of models that reflect the real world....Pages 200-210 European Passenger Travel Demand Analysis and Strategy Responsive Forecast....Pages 211-221 Considerations on the design of behavioural orientated models from the point of view of empirical social research....Pages 222-231 Transport demand models and policy A Comparative Analysis....Pages 232-246 Forecasting freight demand....Pages 247-264 Management — a potential source of improved long-term demand forecasts in aviation and shipping....Pages 265-269 Reflexions sur la situation et les objectifs de la recherce dans le domaine des transports de marchandises....Pages 270-273 Bus acquisition and retirement decisions....Pages 274-280 The Uncertainty of Decisionmaking in a Direct Democracy....Pages 281-284 The Inseparability of Operational Control Policy Analysis and Strategic Planning: An Experience With U.S. Airports....Pages 285-291 Operational requirements for new transit technology....Pages 292-295 The U.S. Owner-Operator Trucker: A Transportation Policy Based on Personal Bankruptcy....Pages 296-300 A System Analysis of Effectiveness of Energy Saving Measures in Transport....Pages 301-305 Aspects of governmental research and development funding programmes for ground transportation systems....Pages 306-310 A road transport investment model for developing countries....Pages 311-318 Fondements techniques et économiques du transport ferroviaire des voyageurs à grande vitesse....Pages 319-329 Research issues in rail transport operations....Pages 330-334 Advanced Airline Planning Models as a Tool for Developing Regulatory Policy....Pages 335-345 Aspects économiques de la propulsion nucléaire civile....Pages 346-353 Interaction of costs and technological developments in the shipping industry....Pages 354-361 Uncertainties in airport cost analysis....Pages 362-376 Safety at sea and related research....Pages 377-383 Pedestrian safety: the role of research....Pages 384-398 Some observations on evaluation methods pertinent to selection of a public urban transport system....Pages 399-409 Environmental problems related to railways in Japan....Pages 410-413 Environmental impact assessment and transport facilities....Pages 414-416 Measuring the impacts of Singapore’s area license scheme....Pages 417-422 Transportation systems management; Alternatives to capital investment in a period of uncertainty....Pages 423-430 Uncertainty and the transport investment decision....Pages 431-437 A predictive model of highway interchange land use development: A decision tool for planning....Pages 438-446 The effect of alternative urban forms on two-mode transportation system requirements....Pages 447-461 An integrated system for airline planning and management information....Pages 462-471 Management information systems in local public transport....Pages 472-477 Planification opérationnelle des transports urbains en commun: approches et applications....Pages 478-495 Transport International et Pays en Voie de Développement....Pages 496-501 Infrastructural growth and developmental planning: A comparative study of road infrastructure in the national development of ASEAN countries....Pages 502-511 EMME: A planning method for multi-modal urban transportation systems....Pages 512-518 Scope for the substitution of labor and equipment in civil construction A Progress Report....Pages 519-530 Rural road planning in developing countries....Pages 531-535 Mobility problems and solutions for elderly, handicapped, and poor persons in the United States....Pages 536-543 Social assessment of technology and its application to urban transportation....Pages 544-550 The state of mobility research....Pages 551-558 Accessibility and its application to a dynamic model of spatial land-use distribution....Pages 559-585 Freight transport models as a tool for management....Pages 586-592 Minimizing uncertainties in master planning the transport sector of a developing country....Pages 593-596 Traffic research relating to both short-term and long-term traffic planning....Pages 597-601 The planning of an airport system, a comprehensive approach....Pages 602-615 CANPASS: A Strategic Planning Capability for Intercity Passenger Transportation....Pages 616-624 Transport policy models and transport policy development a major challenge or a search for a “Philosopher’s stone”?....Pages 625-631 Application of demographic and econometric models to regional transportation planning....Pages 632-638 New trends in rural feeder roads planning....Pages 639-642 Back Matter....Pages 643-657 Comme cela a deja ete enonce durant la premiere As already indicated during the first World Confer Conference Mondiale sur la Recherche dans les Trans ence on Transport Research in Bruges, Belgium in 1973, ports a Bruges, Belgique en 1973, Ie transport est today transportation is a recognized profession. This is aujourd'hui une profession reconnue. C'est egalement equally true in 1977, the year that the third World Con vrai en 1977, annee a laquelle fut organisee a Rotter ference was organized in Rotterdam, The Netherlands. dam, Pays-Bas, la troisieme Conference Mondiale. Le Transportation has truly emerged as an identifiable transport a veritablement emerge pour s'identifier a une multi-modal and multi-disciplinary profession. profession multi-modale et multi-disciplinaire. The theme chosen for this third World Conference on Le theme choisi pour cette troisieme Conference Transport Research has been: "Transport Decisions in Mondiale sur la Recherche dans les Transports etait: an Age of Uncertainty". "Les Decisions sur les Transports dans une Peri ode The Steering Committee of the World Conference d'Incertitude