The Role of Policymakers in Business Cycle Fluctuations

This 2006 book's central theme is that a policymaker's role is to enhance the public's ability to coordinate their price information, price expectations, and economic activities. This role is fulfilled when policymakers maintain inflation stability. Inflation persists less when an implicit or explicit inflation target is met. Granato and Wong argue that inflation persistence is reduced when the public substitutes the prespecified inflation target for past inflation. A by-product of this co-ordination process is greater economic stability. In particular, inflation stability contributes to greater economic output stability, including the potential for the simultaneous reduction of both inflation and output variability - inflation-output co-stabilization (IOCS). Granato and Wong use historical, formal, and applied statistical analysis of business-cycle performance in the United States for the 1960 to 2000 period. They find that during periods when policymakers emphasize inflation stability, inflation uncertainty and persistence were reduced. The Book's Central Theme Is That A Policymaker's Role Is To Enhance The Public's Ability To Coordinate Its Price Information Price Expectations, And Economic Activities. The Role Is Fulfilled When Policymakers Maintain Inflation Stability.--jacket. The Interaction Of Policy And Outcomes -- Coordinating Price Information -- Outcomes And Policy: An Illustration -- Policy Evolution: 1960 To 2000 -- The Role Of Policymakers -- The Theoretical Model -- Policy And Aggregate Variability -- The Optimal Policymaker Role -- Coordination Dynamics -- Coordinating Inflation Forecasts -- Inflation-stabilizing Policy: Robustness -- Conclusion And Implications. Jim Granato, M.c. Sunny Wong. Includes Bibliographical References (p. 251-275) And Index. The book's central theme is that a policymaker's role is to enhance the public's ability to coordinate their price information, price expectations, and economic activities. Granato and Wong argue that inflation persistence is reduced when the public substitutes the prespecified inflation target for past inflation The central theme of this book is that a macroeconomic policymaker's role is to conduct policy in such a way as to enhance the public's ability to coordinate its information, expectations, and economic activities.