زمین کارآمد: پاسخی به جهانی ۲۰۰۰

Predicts what the world will be like at the turn of the century in terms of agriculture, world population, water resources, climate, minerals, oil, nuclear power, environmental quality, nutrition, and health. We Are Confident That The Nature Of The Physical World Permits Continued Improvement In Humankind's Economic Lot In The Long Rung Run, Indefinitely. Of Course There Are Always Newly Arising Local Problems, Shortages And Pollutions, Due To Climate Or To Increased Population And Income. Some Times Temporary Large-scale Problems Arise. But The Nature Of The World's Physical Condition And The Resilience In A Well-functioning Economic And Social System Enable Us To Overcome Such Problems, And The Solutions Usually Leave Us Better Off Than If The Problem Had Never Arisen; That Is The Great Lesson To Be Learned From Human History. We Are Less Optimistic, However, About The Constraints Currently Imposed Upon Material Progress By Political And Institutional Forces, In Conjunction With Popularly-held Beliefs And Attitudes About Natural Resources And The Environment ... Trends Point Towards Deterioration Rather Than Towards Improvement ...--introduction. Edited By Julian L. Simon And Herman Kahn. Includes Bibliographies And Index. Front cover Contents Preface Acknowledgements Introduction 1. The Role of Population Projections for the Year 2000 2. World Food and Agriculture 3. The Future of Food from the Sea 4. Global Forests 5. On Species Loss, the Absence of Data, and Risks to Humanity 6. The World Supply of Agricultural Land 7. Soil Erosion in the United States 8. Cropland Change in the United States, 1944-78 9A. Water Resource Adequacy: lllusion and Reality 9B. On Water: A Critique of Global 2000 10. Global Climatic Trends 11. Global Trends in Non-fuel Minerals 12. World Demand for Oil 13. The Outlook for Future Petroleum Supplies 14. Nuclear Power 15A. Solar Energy and Other" Alternative" Energy Sources 15B. Coal 16. Long-Run Trends in Environmental Quality 17. Air and Water Quality 18. Nutrition and Health in the Changing Environment 19. Why Cancer? 20. The Hazards of Nuclear Power 21. Statement of Dissent Contributors Index