The Politics of Intelligence and American Wars with Iraq (The Middle East in Focus)

Coming At The Heels Of September 11, Operation Iraqi Freedom Has Focused The Limelight On The Way In Which The United States Predicts And Manages Political Change. The Failure To Find Wmd And More Important, The Continued Violence In Iraq Instead Of The Hoped For Democracy, Has Engender An Acrimonious Debate On The Motives Of The Bush Administration And Its Uses Or Misuses Of Intelligence. The Question Of Who Got What Right Or Wrong Has Been Fought Out Along Ideological, And Partisan Lines, With Supporters Claiming That, Given What Was Known About Saddam Hussein, The Decision To Change His Regime Was Justified And Detractors Arguing That A Group Of Largely Jewish Neoconservatives, Acting On Behalf Of Israel, Manipulated Intelligence In Order To Trick The United States Into An Unnecessary And Costly War. The Book Provides A Systematic And Objective Analysis Of The Problems That Faced American Intelligence In Deciphering The Behavior Of The Highly Secretive And Confusing Iraq Regime And Its Enigmatic Leader. Introduction: The Theory And Practice Of Predicting Political Change -- Paradigmatic Views Of Political Change In The Middle East: Arab Exceptionalism And The International Order -- Paradigms Of Change And American Foreign Policy Toward Iraq In The 1980s: Moderating A Totalitarian Regime And The Road To The Gulf War -- Containing A Rogue State: The Iraq Policy Of The Clinton Administration -- September Eleven, The Bush Administration And The Ascendance Of The Neoconservative Vision Of Democratic Universalism -- The Buildup To Operation Iraqi Freedom: Implementing Democratic Universalism -- Operation Iraqi Freedom: The Rise And Fall Of Democratic Universalism -- Reflections On The Iraqi Predictive Predicament. Ofira Seliktar. Includes Bibliographical References (p. [171]-205) And Index. Cover......Page 1 Contents......Page 8 Series Editor’s Foreword......Page 10 Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change......Page 12 1 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change in the Middle East: Arab Exceptionalism and the International Order......Page 18 2 Paradigms of Change and American Foreign Policy toward Iraq in the 1980s: Moderating a Totalitarian Regime and the Road to the Gulf War......Page 38 3 Containing a Rogue State: The Iraq Policy of the Clinton Administration......Page 66 4 September Eleven, the Bush Administration, and the Ascendance of the Neoconservative Vision of Democratic Universalism......Page 98 5 The Buildup to Operation Iraqi Freedom: Implementing Democratic Universalism......Page 124 6 Operation Iraqi Freedom: The Rise and Fall of Democratic Universalism......Page 150 7 Reflections on the Iraqi Predictive Predicament......Page 168 Bibliography......Page 182 B......Page 218 C......Page 219 H......Page 220 K......Page 221 M......Page 222 R......Page 223 U......Page 224 Z......Page 225 Cover 1 Contents 8 Series Editor’s Foreword 10 Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change 12 1 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change in the Middle East: Arab Exceptionalism and the International Order 18 2 Paradigms of Change and American Foreign Policy toward Iraq in the 1980s: Moderating a Totalitarian Regime and the Road to the Gulf War 38 3 Containing a Rogue State: The Iraq Policy of the Clinton Administration 66 4 September Eleven, the Bush Administration, and the Ascendance of the Neoconservative Vision of Democratic Universalism 98 5 The Buildup to Operation Iraqi Freedom: Implementing Democratic Universalism 124 6 Operation Iraqi Freedom: The Rise and Fall of Democratic Universalism 150 7 Reflections on the Iraqi Predictive Predicament 168 Bibliography 182 Index 218 A 218 B 218 C 219 D 220 E 220 F 220 G 220 H 220 I 221 J 221 K 221 L 222 M 222 N 223 O 223 P 223 Q 223 R 223 S 224 T 224 U 224 V 225 W 225 Y 225 Z 225