The impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global food security

The impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global food security 1 Introduction 2 Methods 2.1 Data 2.1.1 Satellite data 2.1.2 European crop type data 2.1.3 Global trade data 2.2 Monitoring of wheat growth in Ukraine 2.3 Estimating the wheat yield in Ukraine 2.4 Quantitative general equilibrium trade model 2.4.1 Multi-country and multi-sector 2.4.2 Country-sector productivity difference 2.4.3 Input-output (IO) linkage 2.4.4 Sector trade barriers 2.4.5 Model implementation 3 Results 3.1 Signs of wheat production reduction based on satellite observations 3.2 Potential impacts on global trade of agricultural products 3.3 Adaptions to the potential conflict-induced global wheat production loss 4 Discussion 5 Conclusions Declaration of competing interest Data availability Appendix A Supplementary data References