The hundred-year marathon : China's secret strategy to replace America as the global superpower

One of the U.S. government's leading China experts reveals the hidden strategy fueling that country's rise - and how Americans have been seduced into helping China overtake us as the world's leading superpower. For more than forty years, the United States has played an indispensable role helping the Chinese government build a booming economy, develop its scientific and military capabilities, and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that China's rise will bring us cooperation, diplomacy, and free trade. But what if the "China Dream" is to replace us, just as America replaced the British Empire, without firing a shot? Based on interviews with Chinese defectors and newly declassified, previously undisclosed national security documents, __The Hundred-Year Marathon__ reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one-hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, a fluent Mandarin speaker who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on his decades of contact with the "hawks" in China's military and intelligence agencies and translates their documents, speeches, and books to show how the teachings of traditional Chinese statecraft underpin their actions. He offers an inside look at how the Chinese really view America and its leaders - as barbarians who will be the architects of their own demise. Pillsbury also explains how the U.S. government has helped - sometimes unwittingly and sometimes deliberately - to make this "China Dream" come true, and he calls for the United States to implement a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. __The Hundred-Year Marathon__ is a wake-up call as we face the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century.

One of the U.S. government's leading China experts reveals the hidden strategy fueling that country's rise – and how Americans have been seduced into helping China overtake us as the world's leading superpower.

For more than forty years, the United States has played an indispensable role helping the Chinese government build a booming economy, develop its scientific and military capabilities, and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that China's rise will bring us cooperation, diplomacy, and free trade. But what if the "China Dream" is to replace us, just as America replaced the British Empire, without firing a shot?

Based on interviews with Chinese defectors and newly declassified, previously undisclosed national security documents, The Hundred-Year Marathon reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one-hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, a fluent Mandarin speaker who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on his decades of contact with the "hawks" in China's military and intelligence agencies and translates their documents, speeches, and books to show how the teachings of traditional Chinese statecraft underpin their actions. He offers an inside look at how the Chinese really view America and its leaders – as barbarians who will be the architects of their own demise.
Pillsbury also explains how the U.S. government has helped – sometimes unwittingly and sometimes deliberately – to make this "China Dream" come true, and he calls for the United States to implement a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. The Hundred-Year Marathon is a wake-up call as we face the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century.

For More Than Forty Years, The United States Has Reached Out To China, Helping It Develop A Booming Economy And Take Its Place On The World Stage, In The Belief That There Is Little To Fear--and Everything To Gain--from China's Rise. But What If The Chinese Have Had A Different Plan All Along? The Hundred-year Marathon Reveals China's Secret Strategy To Supplant The United States As The World's Dominant Power, And To Do So By 2049, The One Hundredth Anniversary Of The Founding Of The People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, Who Has Served In Senior National Security Positions In The U.s. Government Since The Days Of Richard Nixon And Henry Kissinger, Draws On Chinese Documents, Speeches, And Books (many Of Them Never Translated Into English) To Reveal The Roots Of This Strategy In Traditional Chinese Statecraft And Track How The Chinese Are Putting It Into Practice Today. Pillsbury Shows How American Policymakers Have Been Willfully Blind To These Developments For Decades--and He Includes Himself In That Critique, As He Was Once A Leading Voice In Favor Of Aiding China. He Also Calls For The United States To Design A New, More Competitive Strategy Toward China As It Really Is, And Not As We Might Wish It To Be. The Hundred-year Marathon Is A Wakeup Call For All Americans Concerned About How We Have Misread The Greatest National Security Challenge Of The Twenty-first Century-- Introduction: Wishful Thinking -- The China Dream -- Warring States -- Only China Could Go To Nixon -- Mr. White And Ms. Green -- America, The Great Satan -- China's Message Police -- The Assassin's Mace -- The Capitalist Charade -- A China World Order In 2049 -- Warning Shots -- America As A Warring State. Michael Pillsbury. Includes Bibliographical References And Index. China should complete its transition to a market economy through enterprise, land, labor, and financial sector reforms, strengthen its private sector, open its markets to greater competition and innovation, and ensure equality of opportunity to help achieve its goal of a new structure for economic growth. These are some of the key findings of China 2030, a joint research report by a team from the World Bank and the Development Research Center of China's State Council. This report lays out the case for a new development strategy for China to rebalance the role of government and market, private sector and society to reach the goal of becoming a-high income country by 2030. China 2030 recommends steps to deal with the risks facing China over the next 20 years, including the risk of a hard landing in the short term, as well as challenges posed by an ageing and shrinking workforce, rising inequality, environmental stresses, and external imbalances. The report presents six strategic directions for China's future: Completing the transition to a market economy; Accelerating the pace of open innovation; Going "green" to transform environmental stresses into green growth as a driver for development; Expanding opportunities and services such as health, education and access to jobs for all people; Modernizing and strengthening its domestic fiscal system; and Seeking mutually beneficial relations with the world by connecting China's structural reforms to the changing international economy China 2030 is a joint research report authored by a team from the World Bank and the Development Research Center of China's State Council. It lays out the case for a new development strategy for China to rebalance the role of government and market, private sector and society to reach the goal of becoming a-high income country by 2030. The report recommends steps to deal with the risks facing China over the next 20 years, including the risk of a hard landing in the short term, as well as challenges posed by an ageing and shrinking workforce, rising inequality, environmental stresses, and external imbalances. It lays out six strategic directions for China's future: Completing the transition to a market economy. Accelerating the pace of open innovation. Going 'green' to transform environmental stresses into green growth as a driver for development. Expanding opportunities and services such as health, education and access to jobs for all people. Modernizing and strengthening its domestic fiscal system; and Seeking mutually beneficial relations with the world by connecting China's structural reforms to the changing international economy. China 2030 finds that China should complete its transition to a market economy through enterprise, land, labor, and financial sector reforms, strengthen its private sector, open its markets to greater competition and innovation, and ensure equality of opportunity to help achieve its goal of a new structure for economic growth "For more than forty years, the United States has reached out to China, helping it develop a booming economy and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that there is little to fear--and everything to gain--from China's rise. But what if the Chinese have had a different plan all along? The Hundred-Year Marathon reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on Chinese documents, speeches, and books (many of them never translated into English) to reveal the roots of this strategy in traditional Chinese statecraft and track how the Chinese are putting it into practice today. Pillsbury shows how American policymakers have been willfully blind to these developments for decades--and he includes himself in that critique, as he was once a leading voice in favor of aiding China. He also calls for the United States to design a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. The Hundred-Year Marathon is a wakeup call for all Americans concerned about how we have misread the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century"-- Provided by publisher "For more than forty years, the United States has reached out to China, helping it develop a booming economy and take its place on the world stage, in the belief that there is little to fear ... and everything to gain ... from China's rise. But what if the Chinese have had a different plan all along? The Hundred-Year Marathon reveals China's secret strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power, and to do so by 2049, the one hundredth anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic. Michael Pillsbury, who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on Chinese documents, speeches, and books (many of them never translated into English) to reveal the roots of this strategy in traditional Chinese statecraft and track how the Chinese are putting it into practice today. Pillsbury shows how American policymakers have been willfully blind to these developments for decades ... and he includes himself in that critique, as he was once a leading voice in favor of aiding China. He also calls for the United States to design a new, more competitive strategy toward China as it really is, and not as we might wish it to be. The Hundred-Year Marathon is a wakeup call for all Americans concerned about how we have misread the greatest national security challenge of the twenty-first century."

China's economic performance over the past 30 years has been remarkable. The report is based on the strong conviction that China has the potential to become a modern, harmonious, and creative high income society by 2030. The report proposes six strategic directions for China's new development strategy: 1) rethinking the role of the state and the private sector to encourage increased competition in the economy; 2) encouraging innovation and adopting an open innovation system with links to global research and development networks; 3) looking to green development as a significant new growth opportunity; 4) promoting equality of opportunity and social protection for all; 5) strengthening the fiscal system and improving fiscal sustainability; and 6) ensuring that China, as an international stakeholder, continues its integration with global markets.

Michael Pillsbury, who has served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government since the days of Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, draws on Chinese documents, speeches, and books to reveal the roots of the strategy to supplant the United States as the world's dominant power. This report examines whether China's economy can continue to grow to become the world's largest economy, even if its current growth rate slows, and whether it can maintain rapid growth with little disruption to the world, the environment and its own culture