The Effect Evaluation of Haze Governance Policies in Hebei Province–Based on I-O Model ||

This book provides a dynamic simulation model based on input-output table. The model includes an objective function, i.e. maximizing economic and social development and three sub-models, including economic growth model, pollutant emission model and energy balance model. The data of 2012 is selected as the base period data. The haze control policy of Hebei Province is written into the model as an exogenous variable. Reducing the total PM2.5 emissions is an environmental constraint, which is used to eliminate the impact of natural factors on environmental quality. Lingo software is used to simulate this model. By comparing the socio-economic impacts in different scenarios, this book found the most effective policy combination of haze governance. Comprehensive haze governance policy recommendations provide experience for other regions of China and other developing countries. In this book, the dynamic simulation model of haze governance also provides a reference to other environmental policy simulations. This book is divided into five parts. The first part is an introduction. This paper mainly introduces the research background, research status at home and abroad, the purpose and significance of the study, the content and methods of the study, the key scientific problems to be solved and the expected results. In the second part, the current situation and existing problems of economic, social, energy and environment development in the study area are analyzed in detail. In the third part, a comprehensive evaluation model of dynamic optimization of haze control policy is constructed. The fourth part carries on the simulation experiment, and carries on the analysis to the experimental result. The fifth part puts forward the policy suggestions to realize the economic, social, energy and environmental development of Hebei Province. In this book, we have some understandings about haze governance. From the perspective of policy effect, the policy effects of subsidy for soil and water conservation, subsidy for development and utilization of clean energy, subsidy for new energy vehicles, motor vehicle restriction and subsidy for introduction of PM2.5 treatment technology are decreasing. Comprehensive policy can better achieve the goal of sustainable development of economy, energy and environment than single policy, and the effect of "source governance" policy is better than that of "end governance" policy. Preface Contents About the Authors 1 Introduction 1.1 Research Background and Research Status at Home and Abroad 1.1.1 Research Background 1.1.2 Research Status at Home and Abroad 1.2 Purpose and Significance of the Research 1.2.1 Research Purpose 1.2.2 Research Significance 1.3 Research Content, Research Methods and Technical Route 1.3.1 Research Content 1.3.2 Research Program and Technical Route 1.4 Key Scientific Questions to be Addressed and Expected Accomplishments 1.5 Expected Accomplishments 2 Analysis of the Current Situation of Research Areas 2.1 Administrative Division and Population in Hebei Province 2.1.1 Administrative Division of Hebei Province 2.1.2 Population of Hebei Province 2.1.3 Analysis of Total Economic Quantity in Hebei Province 2.1.4 Economic Structure of Hebei Province 2.1.5 Fascial Revenue and Expenditure of Hebei Province 2.2 Analysis of Energy Situation in Hebei Province 2.2.1 Analysis of Energy Gross Product 2.2.2 Analysis of Total Energy Utilization 2.2.3 Analysis of the Contradiction of Energy Supply and Demand 2.2.4 Analysis of Energy Consumption Intensity 2.2.5 Analysis of Energy Utilization Structure 2.3 Current Situation of Motor Vehicle Development in Hebei Province 2.3.1 Motor Vehicle Ownership in Hebei Province 2.3.2 Vehicle Ownership in Hebei Province 2.4 Current Situation of Haze Pollution in Hebei Province and Countermeasure 2.4.1 Haze Pollution in Hebei Province 2.4.2 Characteristics of Haze Pollution in Hebei Province 2.4.3 Measures for Haze Pollution Control in Hebei Province 2.5 Summary 3 Dynamic and Optimal Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Haze Control Policy in Hebei Province 3.1 Theoretical Basis of Model Construction 3.1.1 Theory of Material Balance, Value Balance and Energy Balance 3.1.2 Multi-objective Optimization Model 3.1.3 Input-Output Model 3.1.4 Research Progress 3.2 Conceptual Model and Basic Settings 3.2.1 Conceptual Model 3.2.2 Classification of Pollutants 3.2.3 Preparation of Input-Output Tables 3.2.4 Environmental Policies and Technological Choices 3.3 Modeling 3.3.1 Objective Function 3.3.2 Pollutant Emission Model 3.3.3 Energy Balance Model 3.3.4 Economic and Social Model 3.4 Summary 4 Scenario Analysis of Comprehensive Impact of Haze Control Policy on Economy, Society and Environment in Hebei Province 4.1 Scenario Setting 4.2 Optimal Scenario Selection 4.2.1 Economic Development Analysis 4.2.2 Energy Consumption Analysis 4.2.3 Analysis of Pollutant Discharge 4.2.4 Selection of the Optimal Scenario 4.3 Comprehensive Analysis of Economy, Energy and Environment Under Optimal Scenario 4.3.1 Analysis of Economic Growth 4.3.2 Analysis of Energy Utilization 4.3.3 Analysis of Pollutant Emission 4.4 Summary 5 Research Conclusions and Policy Recommendations 5.1 Research Conclusions 5.1.1 Status Quo Research Conclusion 5.1.2 Model Research Conclusion 5.1.3 Simulation Results 5.2 Policy Recommendations 5.2.1 Recommendations on Policy Selection 5.2.2 Recommendations on Technical Selection 5.2.3 Recommendations on Financial Investment Appendix Appendix 1: Intermediate Input Coefficient of Industries in Hebei Province Appendix 2: Additional Value Ratio of Industries in Hebei Province Appendix 3: Coefficient of Land Pollution in Hebei Province (t/ha) Appendix 4: Conversion Coefficients of PM2.5 Treatment Technologies Appendix 5: Emission Coefficient of Primary and Tertiary Industries in Hebei Province (t/10,000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 6: Emission Coefficient of Industrial Combustion Process in Hebei Province (t/10,000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 7: Discharge Coefficient of Industrial in Hebei Province (t/10,000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 8: Final Consumption Energy Demand Coefficient of Hebei Province (Ton of Standard Coal/10000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 9: Per Capita Consumption Coefficient of Hebei Province (10,000 RMB Yuan/People) Appendix 10: Emission Coefficient of Motor Vehicles in Hebei Province (Tons/Vehicle) Appendix 11: Energy Demand Coefficient of Industries in Hebei Province (Ton of Standard Coal/10000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 12: The Final Consumption Emission Factor of Hebei Province (Ton/10000 RMB Yuan) Appendix 13: Depreciation Rate of Industrial Capital in Hebei Province Appendix 14: Capital Input-Output Ratio of Hebei Province Appendix 15: Conversion Coefficient of Clean Energy Technology Bibliography