The Contribution of Young Researchers to Bayesian Statistics: Proceedings of BAYSM2013 (Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Book 63)

The first Bayesian Young Statisticians Meeting, BAYSM 2013, has provided a unique℗ opportunity for young researchers, M.S. students, Ph.D. students, and℗ post-docs dealing with Bayesian statistics to connect with the Bayesian community at large, exchange ideas, and℗ network with scholars℗ working in their field. The Workshop, which took place June 5th and 6th 2013 at CNR-IMATI,℗ Milan, has promoted further research in all the fields where Bayesian statistics may be employed℗ under the guidance of renowned plenary lecturers and senior discussants. A selection of the contributions to the℗ meeting and the summary of one of the plenary lectures compose this volume.℗ Front Matter....Pages i-x Front Matter....Pages 1-1 A Nonparametric Model for Stationary Time Series....Pages 3-6 Estimation of Optimally Combined-Biomarker Accuracy in the Absence of a Gold Standard Reference Test....Pages 7-10 On Bayesian Transformation Selection: Problem Formulation and Preliminary Results....Pages 11-14 A Simple Proof for the Multinomial Version of the Representation Theorem....Pages 15-18 A Sequential Monte Carlo Framework for Adaptive Bayesian Model Discrimination Designs Using Mutual Information....Pages 19-22 Joint Parameter Estimation and Biomass Tracking in a Stochastic Predator–Prey System....Pages 23-27 Adaptive Bayes Test for Monotonicity....Pages 29-33 Bayesian Inference on Individual-Based Models by Controlling the Random Inputs....Pages 35-39 Consistency of Bayesian Nonparametric Hidden Markov Models....Pages 41-43 Bayesian Methodology in the Stochastic Event Reconstruction Problems....Pages 45-49 Front Matter....Pages 51-51 Efficient Fitting of Bayesian Regression Models with Spatio-Temporally Varying Coefficients....Pages 53-59 PAWL-Forced Simulated Tempering....Pages 61-65 Approximate Bayesian Computation for the Elimination of Nuisance Parameters....Pages 67-71 Reweighting Schemes Based on Particle Methods....Pages 73-76 A Bayesian Nonparametric Framework to Inference on Totals of Finite Populations....Pages 77-80 Parallel Slice Sampling....Pages 81-84 Approximate Bayesian Computation in Quantile Regression....Pages 85-87 Front Matter....Pages 89-89 Spatiotemporal Model for Short-Term Predictions of Air Pollution Data....Pages 91-94 Predicting Rainfall Fields from Lightning Records: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach....Pages 95-99 Bayesian Approach to Environmental Problem Based on PFLOTRAN Package....Pages 101-103 Front Matter....Pages 89-89 Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling of Growth via Gompertz Model: An Application in Poultry....Pages 105-107 Bayesian Prediction of SMART Power Semiconductor Lifetime with Bayesian Networks....Pages 109-112 Consumer-Oriented New-Product Development in Fruit Flavor Breeding: A Bayesian Approach....Pages 113-119 Bayesian Layer Counting in Ice-Cores: Reconstructing the Time Scale....Pages 121-125 Front Matter....Pages 127-127 Bayesian Analysis and Prediction of Patients’ Demands for Visits in Home Care....Pages 129-133 Exploiting Adaptive Bayesian Regression Shrinkage to Identify Exome Sequence Variants Associated with Gene Expression....Pages 135-138 Randomized Phase II Trials: A Bayesian Two-Stage Design....Pages 139-142 Bayesian Matrix Factorization for Outlier Detection: An Application in Population Genetics....Pages 143-147 Noise Model Selection for Multichannel Diffusion-Weighted MRI....Pages 149-153 Analysis of Hospitalizations of Patients Affected by Chronic Heart Disease....Pages 155-159 A Semiparametric Bayesian Multivariate Model for Survival Probabilities After Acute Myocardial Infarction....Pages 161-163 Particle Learning Approach to Bayesian Model Selection: An Application from Neurology....Pages 165-167 Front Matter....Pages 169-169 Analysis of Italian Financial Market via Bayesian Dynamic Covariance Models....Pages 171-175 Bayesian Model Selection of Regular Vine Copulas....Pages 177-180 Analysis of Exchange Rates via Multivariate Bayesian Factor Stochastic Volatility Models....Pages 181-185 On Some Stationary Models: Construction and Estimation....Pages 187-191 Claim Sizes in the Compound Poisson Process from a Bayesian Viewpoint....Pages 193-195 Land Rental Market and Agricultural Production Efficiency: A Bayesian Perspective....Pages 197-200 Front Matter....Pages 201-201 The Point Is...to Publish?....Pages 203-214 The first Bayesian Young Statisticians Meeting, BAYSM 2013, has provided a unique opportunity for young researchers, M.S. students, Ph. D. students, and post-docs dealing with Bayesian statistics to connect with the Bayesian community at large, exchange ideas, and network with scholars working in their field. The Workshop, which took place June 5th and 6th 2013 at CNR-IMATI, Milan, has promoted further research in all the fields where Bayesian statistics may be employed under the guidance of renowned plenary lecturers and senior discussants. A selection of the contributions to the meeting and the summary of one of the plenary lectures compose this volume