The American Campaign: U.S. Presidential Campaigns and the National Vote (Joseph V. Hughes, Jr., and Holly O. Hughes Series in the Presidency and Leadership Studies, No. 6)

Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell's "theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell's cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists' ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns.

reporting Data And Predicting Trends Through The 2008 Campaign, This Classroom-tested Volume Offers Again James E. Campbell's Theory Of The Predictable Campaign, Incorporating The Fundamental Conditions That Systematically Affect The Presidential Vote: Political Competition, Presidential Incumbency, And Election-year Economic Conditions.

campbell's Cogent Thinking And Clear Style Present Students With A Readable Survey Of Presidential Elections And Political Scientists' Ways Of Studying Them. The American Campaign Also Shows How And Why Journalists Mistakenly Assigned A Pattern Of Unpredictability And Critical Significance To The Vagaries Of Individual Campaigns.

this Excellent Election-year Text Provides: A Summary And Assessment Of Each Of The Serious Predictive Models Of Presidential Election Outcomes; A Historical Summary Of Many Of America's Presidential Elections; A Significant New Contribution To The Understanding Of Presidential Campaigns And How They Matter.

"Presidential campaigns do matter for the outcome of elections. The effects of presidential campaigns are systematic and predictable." "These arguments, based on careful analysis of campaigns and previous studies of them, refute the common wisdom of political scientists that campaigns do not matter and the implied belief of journalists, evidenced in their reporting every four years, that little else matters.". "James E. Campbell offers "the theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions."--BOOK JACKET.