Social, cultural, and behavioral modeling : 10th International Conference, SBP-BRiMS, 2017, Washington, DC, USA, July 5-8, 2017, proceedings

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling & Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, SBP-BRiMS 2017, held in Washington, DC, USA, in July 2017. The 16 full papers and 27 short papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 79 submissions. Owing to its strong multi-disciplinary heritage, the papers represent a large range of disciplines including computer science, psychology, sociology, communication science, public health, bioinformatics, political science, and organizational science and use numerous types of computational methods such as machine learning, language technology, social network analysis and visualization, agent-based simulation, and statistics. They are organized in the following topical sections: behavioral and social sciences; cyber and intelligence applications; information, systems, and network sciences; and methodology. Front Matter....Pages I-XVIII Front Matter....Pages 1-1 Inferring Follower Preferences in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Primaries with Sparse Learning....Pages 3-13 Detection and Analysis of 2016 US Presidential Election Related Rumors on Twitter....Pages 14-24 How Emotional Support and Informational Support Relate to Linguistic Alignment....Pages 25-34 Gender Politics in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election: A Computer Vision Approach....Pages 35-45 Agent-Based Modeling Approach in Understanding Behavior During Disasters: Measuring Response and Rescue in eBayanihan Disaster Management Platform....Pages 46-52 An Agent-Based Model of Posting Behavior During Times of Societal Unrest....Pages 53-59 ‘They All Look the Same to Me.’ An Agent Based Simulation of Out-Group Homogeneity....Pages 60-64 Cultural Dimension Theory Based Simulations for US Army Personnel....Pages 65-70 Socio-Cultural Cognitive Mapping....Pages 71-76 Front Matter....Pages 77-77 A Cognitive Model of Feature Selection and Categorization for Autonomous Systems....Pages 79-89 ENWalk: Learning Network Features for Spam Detection in Twitter....Pages 90-101 Understanding Russian Information Operations Using Unsupervised Multilingual Topic Modeling....Pages 102-107 Social Cyber Forensics Approach to Study Twitter’s and Blogs’ Influence on Propaganda Campaigns....Pages 108-113 From Cyber Space Opinion Leaders and the Diffusion of Anti-vaccine Extremism to Physical Space Disease Outbreaks....Pages 114-119 Event-Based Model Simulating the Change in DDoS Attack Trends After P/DIME Events....Pages 120-126 Using a Real-Time Cybersecurity Exercise Case Study to Understand Temporal Characteristics of Cyberattacks....Pages 127-132 Hybrid Modeling of Cyber Adversary Behavior....Pages 133-138 Cyber-FIT: An Agent-Based Modelling Approach to Simulating Cyber Warfare....Pages 139-148 Front Matter....Pages 149-149 Large-Scale Sleep Condition Analysis Using Selfies from Social Media....Pages 151-161 Modeling the Co-evolution of Culture, Signs and Network Structure....Pages 162-171 Front Matter....Pages 149-149 Simulating Population Behavior: Transportation Mode, Green Technology, and Climate Change....Pages 172-181 A Parametric Study of Opinion Progression in a Divided Society....Pages 182-192 Integrating Simulation and Signal Processing with Stochastic Social Kinetic Model....Pages 193-203 Learning Network Dynamics from Tumblr®: A Search for Influential Users....Pages 204-213 Modeling the Impact of Protraction on Refugee Identity....Pages 214-222 Linking Twitter Sentiment and Event Data to Monitor Public Opinion of Geopolitical Developments and Trends....Pages 223-229 Identifying Smoking from Smartphone Sensor Data and Multivariate Hidden Markov Models....Pages 230-235 Is Word Adoption a Grassroots Process? An Analysis of Reddit Communities....Pages 236-241 Understanding Discourse Acts: Political Campaign Messages Classification on Facebook and Twitter....Pages 242-247 Improving the Efficiency of Allocating Crowd Donations with Agent-Based Simulation Model....Pages 248-253 Temporal Analysis of Influence to Predict Users’ Adoption in Online Social Networks....Pages 254-261 Ideology Detection for Twitter Users via Link Analysis....Pages 262-268 Front Matter....Pages 269-269 Spread of Pathogens in the Patient Transfer Network of US Hospitals....Pages 271-280 On Predicting Geolocation of Tweets Using Convolutional Neural Networks....Pages 281-291 Stigmergy-Based Modeling to Discover Urban Activity Patterns from Positioning Data....Pages 292-301 Prospective Detection of Foodborne Illness Outbreaks Using Machine Learning Approaches....Pages 302-308 Mitigating the Risks of Financial Exclusion: Predicting Illiteracy with Standard Mobile Phone Logs....Pages 309-314 Multi-layer Network Composition Under a Unified Dynamical Process....Pages 315-321 Extracting Information from Negative Interactions in Multiplex Networks Using Mutual Information....Pages 322-328 A Blockchain-Enabled Participatory Decision Support Framework....Pages 329-334 Front Matter....Pages 269-269 Hyperparameter Optimization for Predicting the Tolerance Level of Religious Discourse....Pages 335-341 APART: Automatic Political Actor Recommendation in Real-time....Pages 342-348 Measuring Perceived Causal Relationships Between Narrative Events with a Crowdsourcing Application on Mturk....Pages 349-355 Back Matter....Pages 357-358 This volume consists of the proceedings of the 10th International Conference SBP-BRiMS 2017, held in Washington, DC, on July 5-8, 2017. The work presented at the Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction (SBP) Conference and the Behavioral Representation in Modeling and Simulation (BRiMS) Society's conference continued in the scholarly tradition of the past conferences--to build this community of social cyber scholars by bringing together and fostering interaction between members of the scientific, corporate, government, and military communities interested in understanding, forecasting, and impacting human sociocultural behavior. There were a large number of papers describing emergent ideas, late-breaking results, or responses to the challenge problem were submitted and accepted and nine tutorials covering a diversity of topics. The conference has a strong multidisciplinary heritage. As the papers in this volume show, people, theories, methods, and data from a wide number of disciplines are represented including computer science, psychology, sociology, communication science, public health, bioinformatics, political science, and organizational science. Numerous types of computational methods are used including, but not limited to, machine learning, language technology, social network analysis and visualization, agent-based simulation, and statistics