Small Data, Big Disruptions : How to Spot Signals of Change and Manage Uncertainty

**A method to find and connect the small data clues that show what the future’s big picture will look like.** “Strategy decisions are like playing high-stakes blackjack, and scanning is the technique for counting cards. Martin Schwirn isn’t a pro gambler, but an expert in scanning.” ―Bill Ralston, cofounder of Strategic Business Insights and author of __Scenario Planning Handbook__ An organization’s future success depends on their decision makers’ ability to anticipate changes and disruptions in the marketplace. But how do you get information about tomorrow today? How can your decisions today account for tomorrow’s uncertainties? __Small Data, Big Disruptions__ presents a tool kit to foresee coming changes: * Understand why big data will not help you with understanding tomorrow’s disruptions. The future starts with small data―first. * Learn the proven 4-step process to capture small data that help envision the future. * See examples of how the process anticipated major disruptions. * Implement the process in your organization and learn how to initiate meaningful actions. __Small Data, Big Disruptions__ provides the information you need to anticipate the future, understand tomorrow’s market dynamics, and make the necessary decisions to meet the future on your terms. __Small Data, Big Disruptions__ lets you exploit the period between the moment you could know about emerging disruptions and the moment most everybody will know about it. It’s the difference between being ahead of the curve and struggling to catch up. "An organization's future success depends on decision makers' abilities to anticipate changes and disruptions in the marketplace. But how do you get information about tomorrow today? How can your decisions today account for tomorrow's uncertainties? This book shows you how to exploit the period between the moment when you could know about emerging disruptions and the moment when most everybody else will know about it. It's the difference between being ahead of the curve or struggling to catch up"-- Provided by publisher Front Cover Front Flap Copyright Page Contents Foreword Preface CHAPTER ONE: Look Ahead CHAPTER TWO: Reimagine Tomorrow CHAPTER THREE: Set Expectations CHAPTER FOUR: Filter Information CHAPTER FIVE: Detect Patterns CHAPTER SIX: Develop Narratives CHAPTER SEVEN: Identify Meaning CHAPTER EIGHT: Take Action CHAPTER NINE: Abandon Today CHAPTER TEN: Inhabit Tomorrow CONCLUSION: The Future Starts Now Notes Bibliography Quotations Index About the Author Back Flap Back Cover