Richard Ned Lebow: Key Texts in Political Psychology and International Relations Theory (Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice (4))

This third out of four volumes by Richard Ned Lebow in this book series includes texts on psychology and international relations, causation, counterfactual analysis. The political psychology contributions draw on richer, ancient Greek understandings of the psyche and offer novel insights into strategies of conflict management, the role of emotions in international relations, and the modern fixation on identity. Acknowledgements 8 Contents 11 1 Introduction 14 2 Deterrence: A Political and Psychological Critique 16 2.1 Data and Method 20 2.2 Political Failings 22 2.3 How Deterrence Can Backfire 25 2.4 Psychological Problems 27 2.4.1 Flawed Assessments 27 2.4.2 Challenger’s Insensitivity to Warnings 28 2.5 Problems in Applying Deterrence 30 2.6 The Primacy of Self 34 2.7 Implications for Deterrence Theory 34 References 36 3 Making Sense of the World 38 4 Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Political Learning 66 4.1 The Correlational Studies: Applying Abstract Covering Laws to Specific Historical Cases 69 4.1.1 Guiding Theory 69 4.1.2 Hypothesis 70 4.1.3 Research Design and Logic of Analysis 70 4.1.4 Methods and Measures 71 4.1.4.1 Covering-Law Beliefs 71 4.1.4.2 The Need for Explanatory Closure 72 4.1.4.3 Beliefs About Close-Call Counterfactuals 72 4.1.5 Findings 74 4.1.6 Discussion 75 4.2 Experimental Studies: The Power of Counterfactuals to Change Minds 76 4.2.1 Experiment 1: The Cuban Missile Crisis 76 4.2.1.1 Guiding Theory 76 4.2.1.2 Hypotheses 77 4.2.1.3 Methods and Measures 78 4.2.1.4 Retrospective Perceptions of Inevitability and Impossibility 79 4.2.1.5 Findings 80 4.2.2 Experiment 2: Unpacking Alternative Outcomes of the Cuban Missile Crisis 82 4.2.2.1 Guiding Theory 83 4.2.2.2 Hypotheses 83 4.2.2.3 Research Design, Method, and Logic of Analysis 84 4.2.2.4 Findings 84 4.2.3 Experiment 3: Unmaking the West 86 4.2.3.1 Guiding Theory 86 4.2.3.2 Hypotheses 87 4.2.3.3 Research Design, Methods, and Measures 87 4.2.3.4 Findings 88 4.3 General Discussion 89 4.4 Conclusion 91 References 92 5 The Politics and Ethics of Identity: In Search of Ourselves 94 5.1 Introduction 94 5.2 Autonomy 102 5.3 Genealogy of Identity 108 5.4 Identity Interrogated 116 5.5 Rethinking Identity 122 5.6 Structure of the Book 130 6 Greeks, Neuroscience, and International Relations 137 6.1 Reasons and Emotions 138 6.2 Neuroscience 141 6.3 Greeks and Emotions 145 6.4 Cooperation and Conflict 151 Dartmouth College, N.H., USA 159 King’s College, London, UK 162 University of Cambridge 165 About the Author 167 About this Book 169 Front Matter....Pages i-xiii Introduction....Pages 1-2 Deterrence: A Political and Psychological Critique....Pages 3-24 Making Sense of the World....Pages 25-52 Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Political Learning....Pages 53-80 The Politics and Ethics of Identity: In Search of Ourselves....Pages 81-123 Greeks, Neuroscience, and International Relations....Pages 125-146 Back Matter....Pages 147-159