Proceedings of 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference [recurso electrónico] $c

Food security has always been a major global concern and is getting more attention in recent years. In fact, the global economy and stability has been severely challenged by the precarious state of food security, which was exacerbated by a combination of sharp price volatility and disastrous weather conditions related to climate change. The book aims to improve the analysis and projection of agricultural production and marketing, facilitates information exchange to better food supply and demand and ultimately contributes to enhance world food security and sustainable global agricultural development. Front Matter....Pages i-ix Construction of China Agriculture Monitoring and Early-Warning System (CAMES)....Pages 1-13 Design and Implementation of Agricultural Product Prices Short-Term Forecasting System....Pages 15-27 Forecasting and Early-Warning Research on the Price of China’s Corn and Late Indica Rice....Pages 29-43 Decomposition Study of the Agricultural Products Price....Pages 45-54 Research on the Optimal Combination Forecasting Model for Vegetable Price in Hainan....Pages 55-67 Research and Design of Vegetable Price Spatial-Temporal Transmission Simulation....Pages 69-76 Food Consumption of Households in Poverty-Stricken Areas of West China: The Case of Shaanxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou....Pages 77-87 China’s Aquatic Products Supply and Demand Situation over the Past Decade....Pages 89-99 Spatial-Temporal Characteristics and Outlook of Grain Consumption in China....Pages 101-113 Research on Early-Warning Proposal of China Milk Market....Pages 115-123 Meteorological Effects on China Expected Rapeseed Yield....Pages 125-132 County-Level Catastrophic Risk Assessment of Crops Caused by Flood in Northeast China....Pages 133-148 Study on Fluctuation Rules of Meteorological Phenomena Stress Environment in Cow Dominant Areas of China....Pages 149-159 Study on Extreme Risk Measurement of Chinese Soybean Futures Market—VaR Based on GARCH Model....Pages 161-171 Prediction of Pork Prices Based on SVM....Pages 173-178 Study on Optimal Risk Sharing Issue for Chinese Crop Insurance: A Case Study from Government Perspective....Pages 179-191 Evaluating Catastrophe Risk of Cold Damage for Crop Production at the Provincial Scale in China....Pages 193-203 Rice Yield of Rural Household of Niger State of Nigeria....Pages 205-213 Empirical Analysis on the Economies of Scale of Natural Rubber Production: Based on the Panel Data of 86 Rubber Farms of HSF Between 1998 and 2007....Pages 215-225 Research on Economic Effect of Grain Consumption Expenditure in Urban and Rural China....Pages 227-238 The Outputs and International Competitiveness of Livestock Products in the BRICS: A Comparative Analysis....Pages 239-249 Study on the Evaluation Indexes for Asparagus Industrial Global Competitiveness....Pages 251-260 Industrial Agglomeration in China’s Agricultural Product Processing Industry....Pages 261-270 Influence and Evaluation on Human Settlement Environment After Rural Homestead Consolidation in China: Evidence from the Typical Villages in Jiangsu Province....Pages 271-278 SWOT Analysis on Industrial Development of Beijing Edible Fungi....Pages 279-293 Analysis on the Technology Application of Traceability Management for Agro-product Quality and Safety in China....Pages 295-306 Text Segmentation Model Based LDA and Ontology for Question Answering in Agriculture....Pages 307-319 Research on Search Technology of Agricultural Information Based on Geographical Perception....Pages 321-329 Temporal Changes and the Influencing Factor of China Importing Genetic Resources of Livestock and Poultry....Pages 331-339