Politometrics

Tashkent, FAN Publishing house of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan 2000 Description of the model of determining of sociopolitical processes, developed by the author, which consists mathematical description of the law of change incentive and compulsive motives of sociobehavior. On the basis of this model, one can resolve today’s topical problems: conducting the systems analysis of interaction of policy, culture and economics; revealing the most common, in-depth faults of democratic reforms in more than a hundred completely different countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America, which fail to get out from economical backwardness (GNP per capita, or SGNP, in these countries is below 1 thousand US dollars) despite active democratic and market-oriented reforms having been carried out during many decades; conducting objective analysis and making correct forecast of development of existing countries of the world and, in particular, of CIS countries; definition of optimal sequence and tempo of democratic reforms ensuring dynamic and sustainable socioeconomic development of society, and raising in shortest terms the SGNP of these countries up to the level of 5-20 thousand US dollars. The results of mathematical modeling of sociopolitical processes are published and discussed on international forums in the USA, Germany, Korea, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan, Uzbekistan and other countries. Due to its simplicity and visibility, graphical representation of the model may serve as a peculiar manual on political education of youth and adults, and also to their understanding of the modern scientific concepts of the civilization development, discovering hopelessness of various Utopias, myths and ideas of political extremism. This book is intended for researchers, under-graduate, post-graduate and doctoral students, and everyone who is interested in problems of social development. Contents Foreword Іntroduction The concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processes The problem of general theory of sociopolitical processes The Problem of Objective Analysis of Multiple-Meaning Processes System approach in research of sociopolitical processes The concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processes Determining section and its model Analysis of the contents and historical evolution of sociobehavior motives Economic motive Administrative motive Moral-ethical motive Parameterization of the sociobehavior motives General decomposition and parameterization of the sociobehavior motives Measurement of resultant aspect of motives Workers Mathematical models of trends of the sociobehavior motives Model of evolution of the М-motive Model of evolution of the A-motive Model of evolution of the E-motive Basics of politometrics Analysis of the mathematical model of sociopolitical processes Analysis and type-design of fluctuations of social development Politometrcis: quantitative characteristics of sociopolitical processes Optimization of sociopolitical development of society Comparative analysis of reliability and efficiency of basic types of productive-economic systems The conditions and processes of political and economic self-development of society Fig Graphs of emergence and development of the middle class The role of politometrics in transformational processes Socioeconomic problems The role of socioeconomic structures and adequate assessment of activity results in economic development of society Entrepreneurship and economy Culture and economy Conclusion bibliography contents Tashkent, FAN Publishing house of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan2000 Description of the model of determining of sociopolitical processes, developed by the author, which consists mathematical description of the law of change incentive and compulsive motives of sociobehavior. On the basis of this model, one can resolve today’s topical problems: conducting the systems analysis of interaction of policy, culture and economics;revealing the most common, in-depth faults of democratic reforms in more than a hundred completely different countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America, which fail to get out from economical backwardness (GNP per capita, or SGNP, in these countries is below 1 thousand US dollars) despite active democratic and market-oriented reforms having been carried out during many decades;conducting objective analysis and making correct forecast of development of existing countries of the world and, in particular, of CIS countries;definition of optimal sequence and tempo of democratic reforms ensuring dynamic and sustainable socioeconomic development of society, and raising in shortest terms the SGNP of these countries up to the level of 5-20 thousand US dollars.The results of mathematical modeling of sociopolitical processes are published and discussed on international forums in the USA, Germany, Korea, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Kyrghyzstan, Uzbekistan and other countries.Due to its simplicity and visibility, graphical representation of the model may serve as a peculiar manual on political education of youth and adults, and also to their understanding of the modern scientific concepts of the civilization development, discovering hopelessness of various Utopias, myths and ideas of political extremism.This book is intended for researchers, under-graduate, post-graduate and doctoral students, and everyone who is interested in problems of social development. **Contents** ForewordІntroduction__The concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processes__The problem of general theory of sociopolitical processesThe Problem of Objective Analysis of Multiple-Meaning ProcessesSystem approach in research of sociopolitical processesThe concept of the model of actual section of sociopolitical processesDetermining section and its model__Analysis of the contents and historical evolution of sociobehavior motives__Economic motiveAdministrative motiveMoral-ethical motive__Parameterization of the sociobehavior motives__General decomposition and parameterization of the sociobehavior motivesMeasurement of resultant aspect of motivesWorkers__Mathematical models of trends of the sociobehavior motives__Model of evolution of the М-motiveModel of evolution of the A-motiveModel of evolution of the E-motive__Basics of politometrics__Analysis of the mathematical model of sociopolitical processesAnalysis and type-design of fluctuations of social developmentPolitometrcis: quantitative characteristics of sociopolitical processesOptimization of sociopolitical development of societyComparative analysis of reliability and efficiency of basic types of productive-economic systemsThe conditions and processes of political and economic self-development of societyFigGraphs of emergence and development of the middle classThe role of politometrics in transformational processes__Socioeconomic problems__The role of socioeconomic structures and adequate assessment of activity results in economic development of societyEntrepreneurship and economyCulture and economyConclusionbibliographycontents