On Keynes’s Method

Economists have traditionally regarded "Treatise On Probability" by Keynes as an anomaly amongst his published writings. This volume attempts to fix "Probability" firmly in its early 20th century philosophical setting and to link its concerns to a lifetimes' work as an economist. Front Matter....Pages i-xi Introduction....Pages 1-13 Probability: The General Approach....Pages 15-22 Key Doctrines Concerning Probability....Pages 23-59 Inductive Reasoning....Pages 61-71 The Logical Foundations of Analogy and the Justification of Induction by Common Sense....Pages 73-87 Cause and Chance....Pages 89-110 Statistical Inference....Pages 111-131 The Logic of Probability....Pages 133-150 Probability and Economics....Pages 151-172 The Debate with Tinbergen....Pages 173-193 Theory of Investment before The General Theory....Pages 195-206 Theory of Investment in The General Theory....Pages 207-231 Conclusion....Pages 233-250 Back Matter....Pages 251-369