International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies - 42nd Session (The Science and Culture Series - Nuclear Strategy and Peace Technology)

The Erice International Seminars are multidisciplinary seminars attended by over 100 eminent participants from all fields of Science. Each year, a few scientific issues are selected and experts are invited to present contrasting views during the plenary multidisciplinary sessions of the Seminar, followed by general debates. These sessions offer a unique opportunity for specialists to enlarge their fields of vision by being confronted to the ideas and suggestions from high level scientists in complementary domains of science. Associated workshops allow the experts to further refine and process the ideas evoked during the seminar. This year's topics are focused on the World Energy Crisis and more specifically on the Essential Technologies for Moderating Climate Change and Improving Energy Security and for Energy & Limits of Development. We also concentrated on Managing the Challenges of Climate Change, Energy Security and Pollution in Asian Countries. On Global Monitoring of the Planet we have focused on the Climate Change issues and specifically on the Sensitivity of Climate to Additional CO2 as indicated by Water Cycle Feedback Issues, Climate Uncertainties Addressed by Satellites, and the Basic Mathematics Needed for All Models. In Information Security we focused on Cyber Conflict and Cyber Stability. For Pollution and Medicine we focused on the Revolution in the Environmental Health Sciences and the Emergence of Green Chemistry. CONTENTS......Page 10 1. OPENING SESSION......Page 22 Antonino Zichichi Why Science is Needed for the Culture of the Third Millennium—The Motor for Progress......Page 24 EXAMPLES OF INTERVENTIONS IN SOME TOPICS OF VIVID INTEREST TO THE GREAT PUBLIC......Page 25 EXAMPLES OF RESULTS OBTAINED......Page 26 WHY SCIENCE IS NEEDED FOR THE CULTURE OF THE THIRD MILLENNIUM: THE MOTOR FOR PROGRESS......Page 31 Nicholas P. Samios Acceptance Remarks on Receiving the 2009 Gian Carlo Wick Gold Medal Award......Page 58 SIGNIFICANCE OF GLACIERS IN TIBETAN PLATEAU......Page 60 GLACIERS IN THE PLATEAU ARE EXTENSIVELY RETREATING......Page 61 AMPLITUDE OF GLACIAL RETREAT IS LARGEST IN MT. KARAKORUM AND SOUTHEASTERN TIBET, WHILST SMALLEST IN CENTRAL PLATEAU......Page 62 OBSERVED SINGLE GLACIER ALSO SHOWS LARGEST RETREAT IN MT KARAKORUM AND SOUTHEASTERN TIBET, AND SMALLEST RETREAT IN CENTRAL PLATEAU......Page 63 THE ANNUAL RETREAT OF ATA GLACIER WAS 30-40M BEFORE 1980, AND INCREASED TO SOM AFTERWARDS......Page 64 MAJOR IMPACT......Page 65 IN THE TIBETAN PLATEAU, THERE ARE MORE THAN 1000 GLACIALWATER- SUPPLIED LAKES AND MORE THAN 3000 GLACIAL-TERMINUS LAKES......Page 66 GLEF IS DEVASTATING PASTURE NEARBY THE LARGE LAKES IN THE TIBETAN PLATEAU......Page 67 THE LAIGU GLACIAL-TERMINUS LAKE IN SOUTHEAST TIBETAN PLATEAU IS RAPIDLY EXPANDING......Page 68 CONCLUSIONS......Page 69 Yuri Antonovitch Izrael Climate Stabilization on the Basis of Geo-Engineering Technologies......Page 70 RADIATIVE FORCING COMPONENTS......Page 71 REFERENCES......Page 77 Herman H. Shugart Modeling Forest Ecosystems, Their Response to and Interaction with Global Climate Change......Page 78 CONCLUDING COMMENTS......Page 83 REFERENCES......Page 85 BIODIVERSITY WITHOUT MAN (PART I)......Page 88 BIODIVERSITY WITH MAN (PART I)......Page 89 BIODIVERSITY WITHOUT MAN (PART II)......Page 91 BIODIVERSITY WITH MAN (PART II)......Page 93 REFERENCES......Page 99 Henning Wegener and William Barletta Avoiding Disaster: Book Presentation......Page 102 2. INFORMATION SECURITY FOCUS: CYBER CONFLICTS AND CYBER STABILITY—FINDING A PATH TO CYBER PEACE......Page 104 INTRODUCTORY REMARKS......Page 106 OPENING ADDRESS......Page 108 KEY CHALLENGES......Page 112 IMPACT......Page 113 Jody R. Westby Cyber War vs.' Cyber Stability......Page 118 THREATS IN CYBERSPACE IS A GLOBAL PROBLEM......Page 126 CONTAINMENT AND DETERRENCE OF CYBERWAR......Page 127 SUMMARY......Page 128 ENSEMBLE OF EXPERTS......Page 130 CONFICKER WORM......Page 131 IMPROVISATION......Page 132 IMPROVISATION, SECURITY AND SECRECY......Page 134 PEACE IN CYBERSPACE......Page 135 INTRODUCTION AND PROBLEM ANALYSIS......Page 136 EU ACTIONS......Page 137 PREAMBLE......Page 140 3. POLLUTION FOCUS: INTEGRATING ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH AND CHEMICAL INNOVATION......Page 142 John Peterson Myers Fomenting New Opportunities to Protect Human Health......Page 144 REFERENCES......Page 147 John C. Warner Green Chemistry: A Necessary Step to a Sustainable Future......Page 150 THE TWELVE PRINCIPLES OF GREEN CHEMISTRY......Page 153 REFERENCES......Page 154 Jerrold J. Heindel Health Impact of Environmental Chemicals: Need for Green Chemistry......Page 156 REFERENCES......Page 162 Terry Collins Moving the Chemical Enterprise Toward Sustainability: Key Issues......Page 164 REFERENCES......Page 168 4. ENERGY & CLIMATE FOCUS: ESSENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES FOR MODERATING CLIMATE CHANGE AND IMPROVING ENERGY SECURITY......Page 170 ABSTRACT......Page 172 INTRODUCTION......Page 178 OPTIONS FOR CO2 CAPTURE......Page 179 THE ENERGY PENALTY AND ITS IMPLICATIONS......Page 184 THE COST OF CO2 CAPTURE......Page 185 OUTLOOK FOR LOWER-COST TECHNOLOGY......Page 187 CONCLUDING REMARKS......Page 191 REFERENCES......Page 193 INTRODUCTION: DYNAMICS OF A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SYSTEM......Page 196 POLICY SCENARIOS IN GERMANY FOR THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR: AMBITIOUS POLICIES—BUT BUILDING ON SUBSTANTIAL EFFORTS IN THE PAST 15 YEARS......Page 197 "THEY DID NOT KNOW IT WAS IMPOSSIBLE, SO THEY DID IT!" (MARK TWAIN)......Page 199 KEY ENTREPRENEURIAL QUALITIES: "ENTREPRENEURS SEE OPPORTUNITY IN EVERY PROBLEM AND SEEK A SOLUTION WHEN FACED WITH A SETBACK" (STEPHEN C. HARPER)......Page 204 IF ENERGY EFFICIENCY COULD MAKE AS MUCH WIND AS WIND ENERGY .........Page 208 CONCLUSIONS......Page 214 REFERENCES......Page 215 SUMMARY......Page 218 THE lEA ETP STUDY......Page 219 THE TECHNOLOGY CHALLENGE......Page 220 THE ECONOMIC AND COST CHALLENGES......Page 222 BEYOND EMERGING LOW-CARBON TECHNOLOGIES?......Page 224 REFERENCES......Page 225 NATURE AND SCOPE OF THE CHALLENGE......Page 226 SOURCES OF UNDER-INVESTMENT IN R&D......Page 232 ENCOURAGING PRIVATE-SECTOR R&D ON GHG CONTROL......Page 235 PROPOSALS, IMPEDIMENTS, AND BACK-UP STRATEGIES......Page 237 CONCLUSION......Page 240 REFERENCES......Page 241 ABSTRACT......Page 246 INTRODUCTION......Page 247 THE RELATIVE WARMING INFLUENCES OF GREENHOUSE GASES AND AEROSOLS OVER THE 21 ST CENTURY......Page 250 A PRACTICAL PATH FORWARD......Page 255 SUMMARY......Page 259 REFERENCES......Page 260 INTRODUCTION......Page 264 URANIUM ADSORBENT......Page 265 MARINE EXPERIMENT BY ADSORBENT FABRIC STACKS......Page 267 IMPROVEMENT OF ADSORBENT FOR COST REDUCTION......Page 270 CONCLUSIONS......Page 273 THE MECHANISM OF THE CONVENTIONAL OIL PEAK......Page 274 PEAKING OF CONVENTIONAL OIL - THE EXAMPLE OF THE UK......Page 280 CONTEXT......Page 292 METHODOLOGY......Page 293 WHY SO MUCH VARIATION BETWEEN PUBLISHED OUTLOOKS?......Page 294 IHS CERA'S 2009 SUPPLY OUTLOOK: "PAUSING FOR BREATH"......Page 295 WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES TO PRODUCING A ROBUST OUTLOOK?......Page 296 THE BIG PICTURE......Page 299 REFERENCES......Page 302 Rodney F. Nelson The Importance of Technology—The Constant Wild Card......Page 304 INDUSTRY MACRO......Page 305 INTRODUCTION......Page 326 NATIONAL PROGRAM ON HAZARD MITIGATION......Page 327 SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE......Page 328 REFERENCES......Page 331 5. CLIMATE FOCUS: GLOBAL WARMING AND GREENHOUSE GASES......Page 332 Mikhail J. Antonovsky Exponential Analysis in the Problem of the Assessment of the Contribution of Greenhouse Gases in Global Warming......Page 334 REFERENCES......Page 346 6. ENERGY, CLIMATE, POLLUTION AND LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT FOCUS: ADVANCED TECHNOLOGIES AND STRATEGIES IN CHINA FOR MEETING THE ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND ECONOMY PREDICAMENT IN A GREENHOUSE CONSTRAINED SOCIETY......Page 348 Mark D. Levine Myths and Realities about Energy and Energy-Related CO2 Emissions in China......Page 350 ENERGY INTENSITY IN CHINA......Page 356 CHINA'S COAL FLOW IN 2006......Page 357 CHINA'S CRUDE OIL FLOW IN 2005......Page 358 CHINA'S NATURAL GAS FLOW IN 2006......Page 359 INDUSTRIALIZATION IN CHINA......Page 360 ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN TRANSPORTATION SECTOR......Page 361 HIGHWAY VEHICLE POPULATION IN CHINA SINCE 2000......Page 362 CHANGES IN AUTO MARKET AND STOCK......Page 363 PASSENGER VEHICLE STOCK SCENARIO......Page 364 AUTOMOTIVE ENERGY CONSUMPTION SCENARIO......Page 365 FINAL ENERGY DEMANDS BY ENERGY CARRIER......Page 366 PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY—CO2 EMISSION AND OIL IMPORT CONSTRAINED SCENARIO......Page 367 INCREMENTAL COST FOR LOW CARBON ENERGY SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION WILL BE SIGNIFICANT.......Page 368 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT......Page 369 DEVELOPMENT OF FUTURE NUCLEAR-POWER SYSTEMS......Page 370 WIND POWER CAPACITY......Page 371 LIFE CYCLE GHG EMISSION OF GASOLINE CAR AND EV IG C02/KM......Page 372 CO2 CAPTURE AND STORAGE (CCS)......Page 373 BASIC THEMES OF CHINA ENERGY STRATEGY......Page 374 RECENT EFFORTS TOWARD SUSTAINABLE ENERGY TRANSFORMATION-ECONOMIC INCENTIVES SYSTEM......Page 375 FURTHER EFFORTS TOWARD LOW CARBON ENERGY SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION......Page 376 INDICATIVE TRAJECTORY OF LOW CARBON ENERGY SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION IN CHINA......Page 377 INTRODUCTION......Page 378 C02 STORAGE POTENTIAL IN SONGLIAO BASIN......Page 382 REFERENCES......Page 387 KARST DYNAMIC SYSTEM AND METHODOLIES OF ITS RESEARCH......Page 390 INTERNATIONAL BACKGROUND (lGCP379)......Page 399 THE FINAL PRODUCT OF IGCP379......Page 400 CARBON CYCLE IN KDS OF CHINA......Page 403 FUTURE WORKS......Page 406 ABSTRACT......Page 408 STATUS AND STRATEGY OF CHINA'S BIOENERGY......Page 409 BIOMASS RESOURCES AND PRODUCTION IN CHINA......Page 410 DIVERSITY OF ENERGY PLANTS IN CHINA......Page 412 INTEGRATION OF ECOLOGICAL RESTORATION AND BIOENERGY PRODUCTION......Page 413 ECONOMIC IMPACT......Page 415 SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK......Page 416 REFERENCES......Page 417 EMERGENCY WATER ISSUE......Page 418 SCREENING CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT AND CASE STUDIES IN CHINA......Page 421 REFERENCES......Page 424 7. CLIMATE & DATA FOCUS: SIGNIFICANT CLIMATE UNCERTAINTIES ADDRESSED BY SATELLITES......Page 426 INTRODUCTION......Page 428 STRATEGY......Page 429 SELECTIONS FROM CURRENT PORTFOLIO......Page 430 THE FUTURE......Page 434 REFERENCES......Page 435 SOLAR IRRADlANCE VARIATIONS......Page 436 TOTAL IRRADIANCE COMPOSITES......Page 437 EMPIRICAL MODELS......Page 439 VARIATIONS IN THE ACTIVITY INDICES: MG II CORE-TO-WING RATIO (Mg c/w)......Page 440 V ARIA nONS IN THE ACTIVITY INDICES: Ca KLINE......Page 441 SOLAR MAGNETIC INDICES......Page 442 CLIMATE IMPLICATIONS OF SOLAR VARIABILITY......Page 443 SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGES......Page 444 PROPOSED MECHANISMS–COSMIC RAYS AND CLIMATE......Page 445 MODELING OF SOLAR VARIABILITY EFFECT ON CLIMATE......Page 446 CONCLUSIONS......Page 447 NEW MEASUREMENTS......Page 448 8. CLIMATE & CLOUDS FOCUS: SENSITIVITY OF CLIMATE TO ADDITIONAL CO2 AS INDICATED BY WATER CYCLE FEEDBACK ISSUES......Page 450 William Kininmonth A Natural Limit to Anthropogenic Global Warming......Page 452 CARBON DIOXIDE AND RADIATION TO SPACE......Page 453 CARBON DIOXIDE AND SURFACE ENERGY EXCHANGE......Page 457 THE EXAGGERATED RESPONSE OF COMPUTER MODELS......Page 461 ISSUES WITH SURFACE EVAPORATION......Page 462 CONCLUSION......Page 463 INTRODUCTION......Page 466 FEEDBACK FORMALISM......Page 467 THE DATA AND ITS PROBLEMS......Page 470 CALCULATIONS......Page 473 APPENDICES......Page 479 REFERENCES......Page 480 THE UNCERTAINTY OF FEEDBACKS IN CLIMATE MODELS......Page 484 BASIC PROBLEM I......Page 485 BASIC PROBLEM 2......Page 487 9. CLIMATE WITHOUT COMPUTER SIMULATION F 0 C US: MA THEMA TICS, PHYSICS, AND CLIMATE......Page 490 Kyle L. Swanson What is the Climate Change Signal?......Page 492 METHODS......Page 494 REFERENCES......Page 495 SUPPLEMENT......Page 497 SUPPLEMENT REFERENCES......Page 501 Christopher Essex A Key Open Question of Climate Forecasting......Page 502 10. CLIMATE AND HEALTH FOCUS: WINDBLOWN DUST......Page 516 Mark B. Lyles Medical Geology: Dust Exposure and Potential Health Risks in the Middle East......Page 518 SUMMARY......Page 522 REFERENCES AND SUGGESTED READING.......Page 523 Dale Griffin Climate Change and Climate Systems Influence and Control the Atmospheric Dispersion of Desert Dust: Implications for Human Health......Page 524 SUGGESTED READING......Page 526 FIGURES......Page 527 11. SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY FOCUS: WMD PROLIFERATION—ENERGY OF THE FUTURE—MATHEMATICS & DEMOCRACY......Page 530 3. Target detection probability......Page 532 4. Signal produced by the target......Page 533 6. Attenuation of signal by air......Page 534 9. Signal and Background.......Page 536 10. Summary and Conclusions.......Page 537 THE "FACTS ON THE GROUND"......Page 544 BASIC NUCLEAR FERTILE-TO-FISSILE BREEDING PHYSICS......Page 546 THE WAY FORWARD......Page 554 BUT 106 YEARS STILL ISN'T 109 YEARS .........Page 556 SUMMARY: STATUS......Page 557 SUMMARY: OUTLOOK......Page 558 SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL......Page 559 OVERVIEW—COUNTRIES......Page 564 OVERVIEW—ELECTIONS......Page 565 OUTCOME—SEATS VOTES RATIO......Page 566 FRAGMENTATION OF POLITICAL PARTIES......Page 567 THE QUESTION REMAINS......Page 568 12. WFS GENERAL MEETING PMP REPORTS—DEBATE AND CONCLUSIONS......Page 570 Lord John Alderdice Permanent Monitoring Panel on Motivations for Terrorism......Page 572 AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES PMP ACTIVITIES......Page 576 AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES PMP PLANNING FOR NEXT YEAR......Page 577 MANIFESTO (ERICE 2002): MATERNAL AND CHILD MORTALITY IS A PLANETARY EMERGENCY......Page 580 IMPACT OF TERRORISM ON MOTHER AND CHILD HEALTH......Page 583 PLANETARY PROBLEM......Page 584 COLOMBIAN VIOLENCE LANDSCAPE......Page 586 RECRUITMENT OF CHILD SOLDIERS IN COLOMBIA IN 2009......Page 587 SOCIOPOLITICAL FACTORS......Page 588 ADDITIONAL FACTORS THAT NEED TO BE STUDIED......Page 589 INTERNATIONAL ACTIONS AND PROTOCOLS......Page 590 CLOSING REMARKS......Page 591 SOURCES......Page 592 2009 PROGRAM......Page 594 ENERGY USE BY SECTOR......Page 595 2010 PROGRAM......Page 598 ENVIRONMENTAL BASIS OF DISEASE: THE NEED FOR GREEN CHEMISTRY......Page 600 THE GROUNDW ATER PROTECTION ISSUES IN KARST REGIONS OF SOUTHWEST CHINA......Page 601 WHY WE CANNOT "SOLVE" THE RADIOACTIVE WASTE "PROBLEM" WITH THE CURRENT SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, REGULATIONS, AND SOCIETAL DEMANDS......Page 602 Charles McCombie Multinational Repositories: Recent Developments and 2010 Session and Workshop Proposals......Page 604 WFS 2010 WORKSHOP PROPOSAL......Page 605 POLLUTION PANEL WORKSHOP PARTICIPANTS, 19 AUGUST 2009......Page 607 ENERGY PMP MEETING......Page 610 THE PMP BUSINESS SESSION......Page 612 THE ENERGY PLENARY SESSION......Page 613 42nd SESSION OF THE INTERNATIONAL SEMINARS ON PLANETARY EMERGENCIES AND ASSOCIATED MEETINGS......Page 614 FIVE-PMP WRAP-UP WORKSHOP—THE CHINA EXPERIENCE......Page 616 CBRN TERRORISM MITIGATION: ONE-SCIENCE FOR GLOBAL COOPERATION TO MITIGATE TERRORIST ACTS......Page 620 CONTRIBUTORS......Page 623 CLIMATE PMP PROPOSALS......Page 626 A JOINT CLIMATE AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES PMP PROPOSAL FOR 2010:......Page 627 THE CLIMATE PERMANENT MONITORING PANEL......Page 628 Henning Wegener and Jody R. Westby Permanent Monitoring Panel on Information Security Report from the Co-Chairs......Page 630 13. INFORMATION SECURITY PANEL MEETING......Page 632 World Federation of Scientists: Permanent Monitoring Panel on Information Security Erice Declaration on Principles for Cyber Stability and Cyber Peace......Page 634 THEREFORE, we advocate the following principles for achieving and maintaining cyber stability and peace:......Page 635 TOP CYBER SECURITY PROBLEMS THAT NEED RESOLUTION TO ADDRESS THE PLANETARY EMERGENCY REGARDING THE INSECURITY OF GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS......Page 636 Abstract......Page 642 3. MODERN CONTEXT......Page 643 7. CONCLUSION......Page 644 14. LIMITS OF DEVELOPMENT PANEL MEETING......Page 646 I. ENERGY IN ARGENTINA......Page 648 2. HOW ARE ENERGY EFFICIENCY TECHNOLOGIES IN EACH SECTOR OF THE ECONOMY BEING DEVELOPED AND SOLD?......Page 650 THE HYDROELECTRICAL CASE—YACIRETA......Page 652 THE NUCLEAR CASE—ATUCHA II.......Page 653 5. THE LEGAL BACKGROUND......Page 655 7. WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE BEING DEVELOPED TO MANAGE "RAPID URBANIZATION"?......Page 656 REFERENCES......Page 657 SELLING PRICE CHARGED BY ARGENTINA STATE GAS MONOPOLY......Page 659 1. CLIMATE-CHANGE VECTORS. MAIN CONTRIBUTORS AND COUNTERMEASURES.......Page 660 2. ENERGY CRISIS AND RELATED CHALLENGES......Page 661 4. VARIABILITY OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEXES......Page 663 5. GRIM ECONOMIC PROSPECTS AND POSSIBLE SHOCKS......Page 664 REFERENCES......Page 665 15. MITIGATION OF TERRORIST ATTACKS MEETING......Page 666 CBRN TERRORISM MITIGATION: ONE SCIENCE FOR GLOBAL COOPERATION TO MITIGATE TERRORIST ACTS......Page 668 WHAT ESSENTIAL ELEMENTS OF INFORMATION FROM A SCIENTIFIC POINT OF VIEW ARE CRITICAL IN THE INITIAL AND SUBSEQUENT EVALUATION OF A CBRN INCIDENT?......Page 670 GIVEN THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS TYPE OF DATA, WHAT EQUIPMENT AND/OR PROCESSES ARE REQUIRED TO OBTAIN THE INFORMATION?......Page 673 WHAT TYPES OF INTERNATIONAL, NATIONAL, REGIONAL OR LOCAL COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS MUST BE OPERATIONAL DURING THE PERIOD OF THE CBRN INCIDENT AND MITIGATION EFFORTS?......Page 674 WHO SHOULD OWN AND OPERATE THE COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEMS IDENTIFIED IN RESPONSE TO QUESTION 3.D. ABOVE?......Page 675 CURRENT DEFICITS......Page 676 DECONT AMINA TION......Page 678 COMMAND, CONTROL AND COMMUNICATION......Page 679 INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION......Page 680 INTRODUCTION......Page 682 SOME WALL STREET FINANCIERS SHOULD BE RADIATION WORKERS......Page 683 SPECIFIC GUIDANCE BY NCRPM......Page 684 THE REQUIREMENTS FOR REENTRY INCLUDING PERSONAL EXPERIENCE......Page 686 TERRORISM IN INDIA......Page 690 EFFORTS TO PREVENT CONVENTIONAL TERRORISM......Page 692 EXISTING CBRN MITIGATION MEASURES......Page 693 PERCEPTIONS ON WMD TERRORISM AND LIMIT A TIONS ON MITIGATION EFFORTS......Page 694 Vasily Krivokhizha Politization in the Process of International Cooperation to Mitigate Nuclear Terrorism: Some Dubious Results......Page 698 SYSTEM CONCEPTUAL DESIGN......Page 712 RADIOLOGICAL A IT ACK......Page 714 NUCLEAR DETONATION IN A CITY......Page 715 Overview......Page 719 SUMMARY OF SOME COMMENTS MADE IN RESPONSE TO THIS PRESENTATION:......Page 724 MY PERSONAL ACIVITY AS A "PUBLIC EXPLAINER"......Page 726 A COMMUNICATION NETWORK......Page 727 PROPOSAL......Page 728 16. ENERGY PANEL MEETING......Page 730 Akira Miyahara Status of ITER Broader Approach Activities......Page 732 SUMMARY......Page 733 Akira Miyahara Topics of Energy Research in Japan......Page 734 Hisham Khatib Impact of the Financial Crisis of 2008 on World Energy......Page 736 REFERENCES......Page 739 17. GREEN CHEMISTRY WORKSHOP......Page 740 INTRODUCTION......Page 742 SOLUTIONS: SMALL MOLECULE PLASTICIZERS......Page 743 SOLUTIONS: SMALL MOLECULE FLAME RETARDANTS......Page 745 DESIGNING LESS HAZARDOUS CHEMICALS......Page 746 REFERENCES......Page 747 BISPHENOLS AND BISPHENOL-A (BPA)......Page 750 BIOLOGICAL ACTIVITY OF BISPHENOLS: ESTROGENICITY......Page 751 HUMAN EXPOSURE TO BISPHENOLS AND PHTHALATES: THE CASE OF TAKE AWAY FOOD......Page 753 REFERENCES......Page 756 INTRODUCTION......Page 758 ADIPOGENESIS AND OBESITY......Page 759 OBESOGENS......Page 760 OBESOGENS AND STEM CELLS......Page 761 CONCLUDING REMARKS......Page 762 REFERENCES......Page 764 INTRODUCTION......Page 768 BIO-BASED POLYMERS......Page 770 CONCLUSIONS......Page 776 CHEMICALS IN SOCIETY AND ADVANCES IN ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SCIENCE......Page 778 REVOLUTIONARY SCIENCE......Page 780 REFERENCES......Page 781 SOURCES AND ROUTES OF EXPOSURE AND METABOLIC FATE......Page 784 GREEN CHEMISTRY: 21 ST CENTURY MATERIALS SCIENCE......Page 779 ADVERSE HEALTH EFFECTS OF BPA IN LABORATORY ANIMALS......Page 787 THE NEED FOR ALTERNATIVES TO BPA......Page 789 REFERENCES......Page 790 18. AIDS AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES......Page 794 Franco M. Buonaguro 2009 Progress Report of the MCD-217 Project and 2010 Research Project, East-Africa AIDS Research Center at the Uganda Virus Research Institute (Uvri), Entebbe, Uganda......Page 796 P53 ROLE IN CANCER PATHOGENESIS: TWO DISTINCT MODELS.......Page 797 DEVELOPMENT OF HIV VACCINE......Page 798 TRAINING AND EXCHANGE PROGRAMS......Page 799 19. SEMINAR PARTICIPANTS......Page 802 Seminar Participants......Page 804 20. ETTORE MAJORANA ERICE SCIENCE FOR PEACE PRIZE— SCIENTIFIC SESSION Why Science is Needed for the Culture of the Third Millennium......Page 816 Antonio M. Battro The Impact of Digital Technologies Among Children of Developing Countries......Page 818 REFERENCES......Page 819 Richard Wilson The Crucial Role of Science (and Scientists) in Public Affairs: A Suggestion for Coping with Terrorism......Page 820 REFERENCES......Page 826 NEW SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE BUILDS ON THE PAST OVER LONG TIMESCALES......Page 828 CLASSICAL PHYSICS IS STILL GOOD......Page 830 SCIENTIFIC TECHNICALITIES MATTER......Page 831 Anastasios Tsonis The Use and Misuse of Science—An Example......Page 834 Robert Huber Innovation Cannot Be Planned......Page 838 SCIENCE AND GOOD GOVERNANCE......Page 842 GLOBAL WARMING......Page 846 THE ENERGY CRISIS......Page 850 A SOLUTION TO BOTH PROBLEMS......Page 852 CONCLUSION......Page 854 ENERGY SECTOR CLIMATE STABILIZATION POLICIES......Page 856 TECHNOLOGY CHANGES FOR 450 STABILIZATION (lEA ENERGY TECHNOLOGY PERSPECTIVES 2008)......Page 857 CO-BENEFITS SUMMARY IEA 2009 WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK, 450 PPM SCENARIO......Page 858 THE ROLE OF SCIENCE......Page 859 Zenonas Rokus Rudzikas Why Science is Needed for the Culture of the Third Millennium: Historical Experience of a Small Country (Lithuania)......Page 860 REFERENCES......Page 865 THE YEAR OF PHYSICS EXHIBITION......Page 866 INNOVATIVE COMPETITION USING SUPERCONDUCTOR FOR MAGNETIC LEVITATION......Page 871 SUMMARY......Page 874 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS......Page 875 Bruno Maraviglia The Human Brain Function Investigated by New Physical Methods......Page 876 REFERENCES......Page 881 WHAT IS "QUALITY OF LIFE"?......Page 882 WHA T IS SUSTAINED DEVELOPMENT?......Page 883 REFERENCES......Page 884 SCIENTIFIC DISCOVERY IS VITAL FOR FUTURE PROGRESS—......Page 886 AN EXAMPLE: SPACE QUANTIZATION TO MAGNETIC RESONANCE IMAGING (MRI)—A TIMELINE FROM 1911–1977......Page 888 MODERN BASIC RESEARCH—WHAT IS INSIDE THE PROTON?......Page 892 REFERENCES......Page 897 SOCIETAL NEEDS......Page 898 WATER......Page 899 ENERGY......Page 901 STATUS OF RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL IN THE USA......Page 903 WHAT TO DO WITH HIGH LEVEL WASTE?......Page 904 CONCLUSIONS......Page 905 REFERENCES......Page 906 Lord John Alderdice A Science of the Irrational Can Help Protect Science from Irrational Attacks......Page 910 1. Opening session. Why science is needed for the culture of the third millennium - The motor for progress / Antonino Zichichi. Acceptance remarks on receiving the 2009 Gian Carlo Wick gold medal award / Nicholas P. Samios. Glacial retreat and its impact in Tibetan plateau under global warming / Honglie Sun. Climate stabilization on the basis of geo-engineering technologies / Yuri Antonovitch Izrael. Modeling forest ecosystems, their response to and interaction with global climate change / Herman H. Shugart. Forest policies, carbon sequestration and biodiversity protection / Jan Szyszko. Avoiding disaster : Book presentation / Henning Wegener and William Barletta -- 2. Information security focus : Cyber conflicts and cyber stability - finding a path to cyper peace. Cyber conflict vs. cyber stability : Finding a path to cyber peace / Henning Wegener. Advancing the global cybersecurity agenda and promoting cyberstability globally / Hamadoun I. Toure. Bridging the global gaps in cyber security / Mohd Noor Amin. Cyber war vs. cyber stability / Jody R. Westby. Cyber conflict vs. cyber security : Finding a path to peace / John. G. Grimes. Information security, ensembles of experts / Rick Wesson. Cyber conflict vs. cyber stability : EU and multi-national collaboration / Jacques Bus. Erice declaration on principles for cyber stability and cyber peace / Jody Westby and William Barletta -- 3. Pollution focus : Integrating environmental health research and chemical innovation. Fomenting new opportunities to protect human health / John Peterson Myers. Green chemistry : A necessary step to a sustainable future / John C. Warner. Health impact of environmental chemicals : Need for green chemistry / Jerrold J. Heindel. Moving the chemical enterprise toward sustainability : Key issues / Terry Collins -- 4. Energy & climate focus : Essential technologies for moderating climate change and improving energy security. Balancing perspectives on energy supply, economics, and the environment / Carl O. Bauer. The outlook for power plant CO[symbol] capture / Edward S. Rubin. Making rapid transition to an energy system centered on energy efficiency and renewables possible / Wolfgang Eichhammer. Beyond emerging low-carbon technologies to face climate change? / Giorgio Simbolotti. Institutions for developing new climate solutions / Lee Lane, W. David Montgomery and Anne E. Smith. Moderating climate change by limiting emissions of both short- and long-lived greenhouse gases / Michael C. MacCracken. Current status of technology for collection of uranium from seawater / Masao Tamada. An explanation of oil peaking / Roger W. Bentley. The future of global oil supply : Understanding the building blocks / Peter Jackson. The importance of technology - The constant wild card / Rodney F. Nelson. Recent scientific development in Taiwan in response to global climate change / Maw-Kuen Wu -- 5. Climate focus : Global warming and greenhouse gases. Exponential analysis in the problem of the assessment of the contribution of greenhouse gases in global warming / Mikhail J. Antonovsky -- 6. Energy, climate, pollution and limits of development focus : Advanced technologies and strategies in China for meeting the energy, environment and economy predicament in a greenhouse constrained society. Myths and realities about energy and energy-related CO[energy] emissions in China / Mark D. Levine. Technologies and policies for the transition to low carbon energy system in China / Zhang Xiliang. Assessment of CO[symbol] storage potential in oil/gas-bearing reservoirs in Songliao Basin of China / Mingyuan Li. Carbon cycle in Karst processes / Yuan Daoxian. Bioenergy in China : A grand challenge for economic and environmental sustainability / Jie Zhuang and Gui-Rui Yu. Screening for climate change adaptation : Water problem, impact and challenges in China / Jun Xia -- 7. Climate and data focus : Significant climate uncertainties addressed by satellites. NASA satellite observations for climate research and applications for public health / John A. Haynes. Climate insights from monitoring solar energy output / Judit M. Pap -- 8. Climate & clouds focus : Sensitivity of climate to additional CO[symbol] as indicated by water cycle feedback issues. A natural limit to anthropogenic global warming / William Kininmonth. On the observational determination of climate sensitivity and its implications / Richard S. Lindzen and Yong-Sang Choi. Two basic problems of simulating climate feedbacks / Garth W. Paltridge -- 9. Climate without computer simulation focus : Mathematics, physics, and climate. What is the climate change signal? / Kyle L. Swanson. A key open question of climate forecasting / Christopher Essex -- 10. Climate and health focus : Windblown dust. Medical geology : Dust exposure and potential health risks in the Middle East / Mark B. Lyles. Climate change and climate systems influence and control the atmospheric dispersion of desert dust : Implications for human health / Dale Griffin -- 11. Science & technology focus : WMD proliferation - energy of the future - mathematics & democracy. Remote detection with particle beams / Gregory Canavan. Exploring the Italian navigator's new world : Toward economic, full-scale, low-carbon, conveniently-available, proliferation - robust, renewable energy resources / Lowell Wood. The Mathematics of Democracy in South Asia / K.C. Sivaramakrishnan -- 12. WFS general meeting PMP reports - debate and conclusions. Permanent monitoring panel on motivations for terrorism / Lord John Alderdice. AIDS and infectious diseases PMP / Franco M. Buonaguro. Mother and child PMP / Nathalie Charpak. Permanent monitoring panel on limits of development / Christopher D. Ellis. Pollution permanent monitoring panel : Annual report / Lorne Everett. Multinational repositories : Recent developments and 2010 session and workshop proposals / Charles McCombie. Energy PMP report / William Fulkerson [und weitere]. Report of the permanent monitoring panel for the mitigation of terrorist acts : PMP-MTA / Sally Leivesley. Permanent monitoring panel on climate activity report / William A. Sprigg. Permanent monitoring panel on information security report from the co-chairs / Henning Wegener and Jody R. Westby -- 13. Information security panel meeting. Erice declaration on principles for cyber stability and cyber peace / World Federation of Scientists : Permanent monitoring panel on information security. Top cyber security problems that need resolution to address communications / World Federation of Scientists : Permanent monitoring panel on information security. Quest for cyber peace / World Federation of Scientists : Permanent monitoring panel on information security -- 14. Limits of development panel meeting. About questions to be discussed on occasion of the 2009 Erice meeting of the PMP limits of development : The situation in Argentina / Juan Manuel Borthagaray and Andres Borthagaray. Sustainable development in Mexico : Facing the multi-headed hydra / Alberto Gonzalez-Pozo -- 15. Mitigation of terrorist attacks meeting. Permanent Monitoring Panel - Mitigation of Terrorist Acts (MPM-MTA) workshop agenda / Richard Wilson. Development of CBRN event mitigation / Friedrich Steinhausler. One science for CBRN mitigation / Annette L. Sobel. The need for a corps of radiation workers for immediate assignment / Richard Wilson. India's response to the prospect of WMD terrorism / Ramamurti Rajaraman. Politization in the process of international cooperation to mitigate nuclear terrorism : Some dubious results / Vasily Krivokhizha. Immediate communications in the CBRN environment / Robert V. Duncan. Immediate evaluation of radiological and nuclear attacks / Richard L. Garwin. Establishment of a scientifically-informed rapid response system / Richard Wilson -- 16. Energy panel meeting. Status of ITER broader approach activities / Akira Miyahara. Topics of energy research in Japan / Akira Miyahara Impact of the financial crisis of 2008 on world energy / Hisham Khatib -- 17. Green chemistry workshop. Plastics additives and green chemistry / Evan S. Beach and Paul T. Anastas. Plastics, plasticizers and consumer products / Nicolas Olea. Organotins are potent inducers of vertebrate adipogenesis : The case for obesogens / Bruce Blumberg, Felix Grun and Severine Kirchner. Bio-based polymers : A green chemistry perspective / Wim Thielemans. Revolutionary sciences : Green chemistry and environmental health / Karen Peabody O'Brien. The high-volume hormonally active chemical bisphenol A : Human exposure, health hazards and need to find alternatives / Frederick S. vom Saal [und weitere] -- 18. Aids and infectious diseases. 2009 progress report of the MCD-2/7 Project and 2010 research project, East-Africa AIDS Research Center at the Uganda Virus Research Institute (Uvri), Entebbe, Uganda / Franco M. Buonaguro -- 19. Seminar participants. Seminar participants -- 20. Ettore Majorana Erice science for peace prize - scientific session. Why science is needed for the culture of the third millennium. The impact of digital technologies among children of developing countries / Antonio M. Battro. The crucial role of science (and scientists) in public affairs : A suggestion for coping with terrorism / Richard Wilson. When scientific technicalities matter / Christopher Essex. The use and misuse of science-an example / Anastasios Tsonis. Innovation cannot be planned / Robert Huber. Why science is needed for the culture of the third millennium / Henning Wegener. Global warming and the energy crisis : How science can solve both problems / Albert Arking. Co-benefits of climate policies : The role of science / Carmen Difiglio. Why science is needed for the culture of the third millennium : Historical experience of a small country (Lithuania) / Zenonas Rokus Rudzikas. Means to propagate our ideas in scientific and decision-making circles / Maw-Kuen Wu The human brain function investigated by new physical methods / Bruno Maraviglia. Quality of life - How to use ecological science for sustained development / Jan Szyszko. Fundamental science and improvement of the quality of life-space quantization to MRI / M.J. Tannenbaum. Improving the chances for peace by providing almost limitless energy / Frank L. Parker. A science of the irrational can help protect science from irrational attacks / Lord John Alderdice