Informing Energy and Climate Policies Using Energy Systems Models: Insights from Scenario Analysis Increasing the Evidence Base (Lecture Notes in Energy Book 30)

This book highlights how energy-system models are used to underpin and support energy and climate mitigation policy decisions at national, multi-country and global levels. It brings together, for the first time in one volume, a range of methodological approaches and case studies of good modeling practice on a national and international scale from the IEA-ETSAP energy technology initiative. It provides insights for the reader into the rich and varied applications of energy-system models and the underlying methodologies and policy questions they can address. The book demonstrates how these models are used to answer complex policy questions, including those relating to energy security, climate change mitigation and the optimal allocation of energy resources. It will appeal to energy engineers and technology specialists looking for a rationale for innovation in the field of energy technologies and insights into their evolving costs and benefits. Energy economists will gain an understanding of the key future role of energy technologies and policy makers will learn how energy-system modeling teams can provide unique perspectives on national energy and environment challenges. The book is carefully structured into three parts which focus on i) policy decisions that have been underpinned by energy-system models, ii) specific aspects of supply and end-use sector modeling, including technology learning and behavior and iii) how additional insights can be gained from linking energy-system models with other models. The chapters elucidate key methodological features backed up with concrete applications. The book demonstrates the high degree of flexibility of the modeling tools used to represent extremely different energy systems, from national to global levels. Introduction: Energy Systems Modelling for Decision-Making -- Energy policies influenced by energy systems modeling-Case studies in UK, Ireland, Portugal and G8 -- A global renewable energy roadmap: Comparing energy systems models with IRENA’s REmap 2030 project -- Energy decisions in an uncertain climate and technology outlook : how stochastic and robust methodologies can assist policy-makers. George Giannakidis, Maryse Labriet, Brian Ó Gallachóir, GianCarlo Tosato, editors. Includes bibliographical references. Front Matter....Pages i-xiv Introduction: Energy Systems Modelling for Decision-Making....Pages 1-12 Front Matter....Pages 13-13 Energy Policies Influenced by Energy Systems Modelling—Case Studies in UK, Ireland, Portugal and G8....Pages 15-41 A Global Renewable Energy Roadmap: Comparing Energy Systems Models with IRENA’s REmap 2030 Project....Pages 43-67 Energy Decisions in an Uncertain Climate and Technology Outlook: How Stochastic and Robust Methodologies Can Assist Policy-Makers....Pages 69-91 Schemes for the Regional Allocation of Emission Allowances under Stringent Global Climate Policy....Pages 93-110 Assessment of Carbon Emissions Quotas with the Integrated TIMES and MERGE Model....Pages 111-124 Integrating Policy Instruments into Energy System Models—From Theory to Application to Germany....Pages 125-139 Improving Efficiency in Kazakhstan’s Energy System....Pages 141-150 Ex Post and Prospective Analyses of Renewable Policies in Spain....Pages 151-162 Modelling Pathways to a Low Carbon Economy for Finland....Pages 163-181 Front Matter....Pages 183-183 Methodological Significance of Temporal Granularity in Energy-Economic Models—Insights from the MARKAL/TIMES Framework....Pages 185-200 Improved Representation of the European Power Grid in Long Term Energy System Models: Case Study of JRC-EU-TIMES....Pages 201-222 Highly Detailed TIMES Modeling to Analyze Interactions Between Air Quality and Climate Regulations in the United States....Pages 223-246 An Analysis of the Impacts of New Oil Pipeline Projects on the Canadian Energy Sector with a TIMES Model for Canada....Pages 247-260 Multi-cluster Technology Learning in TIMES: A Transport Sector Case Study with TIAM-UCL....Pages 261-278 Modal Shift of Passenger Transport in a TIMES Model: Application to Ireland and California....Pages 279-291 The Role of Energy Service Demand in Carbon Mitigation: Combining Sector Analysis and China TIMES-ED Modelling....Pages 293-312 Front Matter....Pages 313-313 Soft-Linking Exercises Between TIMES, Power System Models and Housing Stock Models....Pages 315-331 Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System—Global Perspectives....Pages 333-358 Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System—National Perspectives....Pages 359-387 Front Matter....Pages 313-313 Assessing Climate Impacts on the Energy Sector with TIAM-WORLD: Focus on Heating and Cooling and Hydropower Potential....Pages 389-409 Coupling World and European Models: Energy Trade and Energy Security in Europe....Pages 411-426 "This book highlights how energy-system models are used to underpin and support energy and climate mitigation policy decisions at national, multi-country and global levels. It brings together, for the first time in one volume, a range of methodological approaches and case studies of good modeling practice on a national and international scale from the IEA-ETSAP energy technology initiative. It provides insights for the reader into the rich and varied applications of energy-system models and the underlying methodologies and policy questions they can address. The book demonstrates how these models are used to answer complex policy questions, including those relating to energy security, climate change mitigation and the optimal allocation of energy resources. It will appeal to energy engineers and technology specialists looking for a rationale for innovation in the field of energy technologies and insights into their evolving costs and benefits. Energy economists will gain an understanding of the key future role of energy technologies and policy makers will learn how energy-system modeling teams can provide unique perspectives on national energy and environment challenges. The book is carefully structured into three parts which focus on i) policy decisions that have been underpinned by energy-system models, ii) specific aspects of supply and end-use sector modeling, including technology learning and behavior and iii) how additional insights can be gained from linking energy-system models with other models. The chapters elucidate key methodological features backed up with concrete applications. The book demonstrates the high degree of flexibility of the modeling tools used to represent extremely different energy systems, from national to global levels."--Back cover