Environmental Challenges in the Mediterranean 2000–2050 : Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Environmental Challenges in the Mediterranean 2000–2050 Madrid, Spain 2–5 October 2002

This book collects most of the contributions prepared for the NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW) on Environmental Challenges in the Mediterranean 2000-2050. The ARW took place in Madrid from 2 to 5ofOctober 2002. Scholars and researchers from North and South ofthe Mediterranean and other countries from NATO gathered in Madrid for discussing several important factors that could affect Mediterranean security in the next 50 years. In this regard the first chapter presents the different debates regarding environmental security that took place in the last decade. This chapter is an introductory chapter and takes into account the possible audience in the Southern Mediterranean and the wishes ofsome contributors. For this reason the chapter deals in extenso with the question ofhuman security and the different approaches. The ARW dealt with issues that may affect the supply of fundamental goods for human living. To this end the complex question ofclimate change, its impact in the Mediterranean, the predicted increase in temperatures and predictions about rainfall are analysed. As part of this approach a chapter about solar variability and climate change is also added. Front Matter....Pages i-2 Front Matter....Pages 3-3 Environmental Security and Human Security....Pages 5-25 Front Matter....Pages 27-27 Solar Variability and Climate Change....Pages 29-46 Qualitative-quantitative scenarios as a means to support sustainability-oriented regional planning....Pages 47-60 Climate change and the occurrence of extremes: some implications for the Mediterranean Basin....Pages 61-73 Regional IPCC Projections untill 2100 in the Mediterranean Area....Pages 75-90 Front Matter....Pages 91-91 Desertification in the Maghreb: A Case Study of an Algerian High-Plain Steppe....Pages 93-108 Prospects for Desertification Impacts for Egypt and Libya....Pages 109-122 Prospective Desertification Trends in the Negev — Implications for Urban and Regional Development....Pages 123-138 The Prospects of the Impact of Desertification on Turkey, Lebanon, Syria and Iraq....Pages 139-154 Prospects for desertification impacts in Southern Europe....Pages 155-172 Front Matter....Pages 173-173 From Water Scarcity to Water Security in the Maghreb Region: The Moroccan Case....Pages 175-185 Water Scarcity Prospects in Egypt 2000 – 2050....Pages 187-203 Water worries in Jordan and Israel: What may the future hold?....Pages 205-231 In the long term, will there be water shortage in Mediterranean Europe?....Pages 233-244 Front Matter....Pages 245-245 Implications of Population Decline for the European Union (2000–2050)....Pages 247-263 Population Growth in The Euro-Mediterranean Region....Pages 265-280 Front Matter....Pages 281-281 Food Trade of the Mediterranean Countries in a World Context: Prospects to 2030....Pages 283-300 Food Security Prospects in the Maghreb....Pages 301-317 EU Agriculture and Common Agricultural Policy: Prospects for the 21st Century and Implications for Mediterranean Countries....Pages 319-328 Front Matter....Pages 329-329 Urban change in Cairo....Pages 331-344 Front Matter....Pages 329-329 Implications of Urbanisation for Turkey. The Case of Istanbul....Pages 345-359 Front Matter....Pages 361-361 The Pollution of the Mediterranean: Present State and Prospects....Pages 363-376 Back Matter....Pages 377-390 The book stresses the six key structural factors that will affect future environmental policies in the Mediterranean region during the next fifty years: population growth, climate change, soil erosion and desertification, water scarcity, food production, and urbanization and pollution. The contributors point out the potential of all these problems as sources of violent conflict, their policy implications, and the possibilities for the development of preventive policies, based on cooperative strategies. The interdisciplinary approach of the book makes it relevant and useful to a broad range of professionals, specialists and researchers This Book Addresses Six Key Factors That Will Affect Environmental Policies In The Mediterranean Region During The Next Fifty Years: Population Growth, Climate Change, Soil Erosion And Desertification, Water Scarcity, Food Production, And Urbanization And Pollution. The Authors Assess These As Potential Sources Of Violent Conflict. The Interdisciplinary Approach Makes This A Relevant And Useful Reference For A Broad Range Of Professionals, Specialists And Researchers. Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop, held in Madrid, Spain, 2-5 October 2002