Energy Policy Modeling: United States and Canadian Experiences : Volume I Specialized Energy Policy Models

Alex Cowie As the twentieth century draws to a close, one of our greatest problems is the availability of energy. One way to study the energy problem is to resolve it into four areas; energy demand, energy sources, transportation of energy from sources to demand centers, and the optimal allocation of energy forms to demands. Each of these areas is extremely complex by itself. When efforts are made to tie them together, for example, to produce a National Policy, the complexities are compounded. Another way to study the energy problem, because of its political and so­ cial consequences, is to resolve it into geographical areas. Individual prov­ inces of Canada or states of the United States will have their concerns about energy within their geographical boundaries. As producer, consumer, or both, each wants to ensure an energy development program which will work to the maximum benefit of its citizens. Similarly, countries endeavor to pro­ tect their citizens and undertake energy policies that will assure either a con­ tinuation of the existing quality of life or - particularly in the case of "Third World" countries - a marked improvement in quality of life. These competing and conflicting goals call for a study which encompasses the whole world. Again, complexity is piled upon complexity. If the prob­ lem is not yet sufficiently complex, there is an equally complex question of the effect of energy production and use on the ecology. Front Matter....Pages i-xx Energy Demand Modeling....Pages 1-15 The Energy Demand Forecasting System of the National Energy Board....Pages 16-33 A Policy Model of Canadian Interfuel Substitution Demands....Pages 34-49 Inflationary Expectations and the Demand for Capital, Labor, and Energy in Canadian Manufacturing Industries....Pages 50-64 The Derived Demand for Energy in the Presence of Supply Constraints....Pages 65-85 The Residential Demand for Electric Energy and Natural Gas in Canada....Pages 86-102 An Econometric Model of Alberta Electricity Demand....Pages 103-116 A Model for Forecasting Passenger Car Gasoline Demand....Pages 117-127 Energy Supply Modeling....Pages 129-143 Choosing the Overall Size of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve....Pages 144-158 Economic Modeling of Energy Supply from Burning Wood Wastes at British Columbia Pulp and Paper Mills....Pages 159-174 Simulation of Tar Sands Mining Operations....Pages 175-194 A Model of Energy Supply from Western Canada....Pages 195-208 The Incorporation of New Technologies in Energy Supply Estimation....Pages 209-219 Coal and Transportation Modeling....Pages 221-227 Modeling U.S. Coal Supply and Demand....Pages 228-241 The Transport of Energy by Rail....Pages 242-249 Coal Slurry Pipelines: A Technology Assessment....Pages 250-266 Costing the Movement of Western Canadian Coal to Thunder Bay: An Incremental Approach....Pages 267-285 Simulation Modeling of Coal Terminals....Pages 286-293 A Short Run Model of the World Petroleum Network Based on Decomposition....Pages 294-307 The Problems and Interactions of Energy, Environment, and Conservation....Pages 308-315 Projections of Solar Energy Utilization: A Guide to Federal Planning....Pages 316-330 Modeling the Economic and Environmental Impacts of Alternative Electric Utility Futures....Pages 331-354 Systems Approach to Assessing Electricity Conservation Initiatives....Pages 355-373 Saving Half of California’s Energy and Peak Power in Buildings and Appliances....Pages 374-396