Energy Policy Modeling: United States and Canadian Experiences Vol. II: Volume II Integrative Energy Policy Models

Alex Cowie As the twentieth century draws to a close, one of our greatest problems is the availability of energy. One way to study the energy problem is to resolve it into four areas: energy demand, energy sources, transportation of energy from sources to demand centers, and the optimal allocation of energy forms to demands. Each of these areas is extremely complex by itself. When efforts are made to tie them together, for example, to produce a National Policy, the complexities are compounded. Another way to study the energy problem, because of its political and social consequences, is to resolve it into geographical areas. Individual provinces of Canada or states of the United States will have their concerns about energy within their geographical boundaries. As producer, consumer, or both, each wants to ensure an energy development program which will work to the maximum benefit of its citizens. Similarly, countries endeavor to protect their citizens and undertake energy policies that will assure either a continuation of the existing quality of life or - particularly in the case of "Third World" countries - a marked improvement in quality of life. These competing and conflicting goals call for a study which encompasses the whole world. Again, complexity is piled upon complexity. If the prob­ lem is not yet sufficiently complex, there is an equally complex question of the effect of energy production and use on the ecology. Front Matter....Pages i-xxi Front Matter....Pages 1-16 Why should Energy Models Form a Significant Policy Input in an Uncertain Political World?....Pages 17-21 Crash Mode Modeling: Analyzing the National Energy Plan....Pages 22-25 The Evaluation of Sponsored Research in Energy Storage....Pages 26-31 A Dynamic Welfare Equilibrium Framework for Projecting Energy Futures....Pages 32-48 Panel Discussion on Important Canadian Energy Decisions for the 1980s and Beyond....Pages 49-64 Front Matter....Pages 65-69 A Survey of Some Energy Policy Models....Pages 70-109 The Brookhaven Energy System Optimization Model: Its Variants and Uses....Pages 110-136 An Integrated Forecasting Model: A Progress Report....Pages 137-154 Network Based Regional Energy Planning Models: An Evolutionary Exposé....Pages 155-184 The Alberta Energy Resources Allocation Model....Pages 185-205 An Alberta Energy Planning Model....Pages 206-215 Time Horizons in Energy Planning Models....Pages 216-232 Appendix....Pages 233-237 How should We Compare Forecasting Models When They Differ?....Pages 238-247 Panel Discussion on the Future of National Energy Modeling....Pages 248-265 Front Matter....Pages 267-278 Canadian Perspectives on the Alaska Highway Pipeline: Modeling the Alternatives....Pages 279-299 Appendix....Pages 300-317 Analyzing Alaskan Gas Distribution Options....Pages 318-329 Front Matter....Pages 331-336 Financing Canadian Energy to 1990: Some Supply Side Constraints....Pages 337-355 The Demand for Funds for Energy Investment in Canada....Pages 356-368 Front Matter....Pages 331-336 Potential Capital Cost and Financing Required for Canadian Energy Projects....Pages 369-378