Currency Strategy: The Practitioner's Guide to Currency Investing, Hedging and Forecasting (The Wiley Finance Series)

Currency Strategy, Second Edition develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuations in the currency markets. Author Callum Henderson shows readers ho to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully. Given there such huge focus on China at the moment, the timing of this new edition is particularly important. The new edition will feature a thorough update on the key developments in the past 3 years, new chapters on emerging markets, an in-depth review of the markets of China and India and their currencies and much more.

Following the success of the first edition, this second edition includes important new material: a Preface to the Second Edition, additional sections for Chapters 7, 8 and 9 on the Real World of the Currency Market Practitioner, and a new Chapter 11 – Emerging World: New Growth Markets for Global FX.

The global foreign exchange market continues to go from strength to strength, defying those who predicted its demise after the launch of the Euro. However, within this, new Emerging Markets show the greatest potential for growth. This second edition examines in detail the very latest trends in this field, providing important insights for currency market practitioners on regions such as Asia, which may hold the key to the market’s development in years to come.

John Maynard Keynes’ reference to the ‘animal spirits’, that elemental force which drives financial markets in herd-like fashion, was applied to the stock market. However, he might as well have been referring to the currency market, for the term sums up no other more perfectly. A market that is volatile and unpredictable, a market that epitomizes such a concept as the ‘animal spirits’, surely requires a very specific discipline by which to study it.

This is precisely what Callum Henderson does in this eminently practical and readable book. He provides an analytical framework for currency analysis and forecasting, combining long-term economic valuation models with market-based valuation techniques to produce a more accurate and use-friendly analytical tool for the currency market practitioners themselves.

Expert advice and timely techniques for surviving and thriving within currency markets Rapid movements in currency markets have been a common occurrence in recent years, often to the detriment of traders and investors. The ability to manage these fluctuations is essential for safe and successful investment in these markets. Currency Strategy develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuations in the currency markets. Author Callum Henderson shows readers how traditional macroeconomic theory has repeatedly failed in the face of practical experience in these markets and develops a new approach based on experience. He draws on the technical expertise of his bank to develop mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully. This text develops several techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuations in the currency markets. It shows readers how to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises. It also givespractical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully The starting point of "fundamental" currency analysis is the exchange rate model, or the attempt by economists to provide a logical framework with which to forecast exchange rates.