Broad Scale Coastal Simulation: New Techniques To Understand And Manage Shorelines In The Third Millennium (advances In Global Change Research)

This volume details research underpinning the 'Coastal Simulator' developed by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. The Simulator provides a framework to analyze long term coastal evolution taking account of all the relevant factors. These include the uncertain future climate and other conditions, such as land use change and allows evaluation of diverse management responses. Coastal zones exemplify the environmental pressures we face: their beauty attracts settlement, they offer potential for diverse economic activities, and they are sensitive natural habitats for important species, as well as providing a range of ecosystem services. They are also extremely vulnerable to the vicissitudes of climate change, which include rising sea levels and changes in extreme events such as storms. With large populations living in coastal and estuarine cities facing the ongoing threat of inundation, coordinated management is essential, especially as coastal zones form a linked system in which piecemeal, uncoordinated management could be counterproductive. The Simulator's current detailed application to the Norfolk coast goes from global climate modelling and broad socio-economic change to the details of evolving coastal habitats, coastal erosion and coastal flood risk and their societal implications. This framework reflects the work of a multi-disciplinary team of key players who analysed these diverse factors in a coherent and integrated manner. The book offers a compelling synthesis of the lessons learned so far at national and international levels, drawing on the expertise of policy makers as well as respected figures in the field Front Matter....Pages i-xxi The Challenge for Coastal Management During the Third Millennium....Pages 1-78 Climate Downscaling: Local Mean Sea Level, Surge and Wave Modelling....Pages 79-102 Broad-Scale Hydrodynamic Simulation, Wave Transformation and Sediment Pathways....Pages 103-124 Land Use Dynamics and Coastal Management....Pages 125-146 Evaluating Broadscale Morphological Change in the Coastal Zone Using a Logic-Based Behavioural Systems Approach....Pages 147-165 Coastal Wetland Habitats: Future Challenges and Potential Solutions....Pages 167-185 Simulating the Shore and Cliffs of North Norfolk....Pages 187-211 Broadscale Coastal Inundation Modelling....Pages 213-232 Analysing Flood and Erosion Risks and Coastal Management Strategies on the Norfolk Coast....Pages 233-254 Visualising Potential Coastal Change: Communicating Results Using Visualisation Techniques....Pages 255-272 GIS Platforms for Managing, Accessing and Integrating Model Results: The Tyndall Coastal Simulator Experience....Pages 273-298 Many Stakeholders, Multiple Perspectives: Long-Term Planning for a Future Coast....Pages 299-323 International Opportunities for Broad Scale Coastal Simulation....Pages 325-347 Integrated Coastal Assessment: The Way Forward....Pages 349-378 Back Matter....Pages 379-398