Atlas of Global Change Risk of Population and Economic Systems (IHDP/Future Earth-Integrated Risk Governance Project Series)

This book is open access and illustrates the spatial distribution of the global change risk of population and economic systems with the maps of environment, global climate change, global population and economic systems, and global change risk. The risks of global change are mapped at 0.25 degree grid unit. The risk results and their contribution rates of the world at national level are unprecedentedly derived and ranked. The book can be a good reference for researchers and students in the field of global climate change and natural disaster risk management, as well as risk managers and enterpriser to understand the global change risk of population and economic systems. Editorial Committee Academic Advisors International Advisors Academic Leaders Academic Members Editor-in-Chief Associate Editors Chief Map Designers Map Designers Foreword by Mami Mizutori Foreword by Dahe Qin Preface Institutions Participating Institutions Collaborating Institutions/Organizations Data Sources Sponsors Contents Environments 1 Mapping Environments of the World 1 Introduction 2 Environments 3 Maps Based on Reference Data 4 Maps References Climate Changes 2 Mapping Temperature Changes 1 Introduction 2 Data 3 Method 4 Major Findings 5 Maps References 3 Mapping Precipitation Changes 1 Introduction 2 Data 3 Method 4 Major Findings 5 Maps References 4 Mapping Wind Speed Changes 1 Introduction 2 Data 3 Method 4 Major Findings 5 Maps References Population and Economic System Changes 5 Mapping Global Population Changes 1 Introduction 2 Method 3 Results 4 Maps References 6 Mapping Global Population Exposure to Heatwaves 1 Background 2 Method 2.1 Heatwave Intensity Metrics 2.2 Exposure 3 Results 3.1 Heatwave Intensity 3.2 Heatwave Exposure 4 Maps References 7 Mapping Global Population Exposure to Rainstorms 1 Background 2 Method 3 Results 4 Maps References 8 Mapping Global GDP Distribution 1 Introduction 2 Method 2.1 Global GDP Distribution 2.2 Population-Based GDP Disaggregation 2.3 NTL-Based GDP Disaggregation 3 Results 4 Maps References 9 Mapping Global GDP Exposure to Drought 1 Introduction 2 Method 2.1 Drought Estimation 2.2 GDP Exposure to Droughts 3 Results 4 Maps References 10 Mapping Global Crop Distribution 1 Introduction 2 Method 2.1 Wheat Distribution Prediction Method 2.2 Rice Distribution Prediction Method 2.3 Maize Distribution Prediction Method 3 Results 3.1 Latitudinal Distribution of Crops 3.2 Country Distribution of Crops 4 Maps References 11 Mapping Global Crop Exposure to Extremely High Temperature 1 Introduction 2 Method 2.1 Wheat Exposure Calculation 2.2 Rice Exposure Calculation 2.3 Maize Exposure Calculation 3 Results 3.1 Latitudinal Distribution of Crop Exposure to High Temperature 3.2 Countries Distribution of Crop Exposure to High Temperature 4 Maps References 12 Mapping Global Industrial Value Added 1 Background 2 Method 2.1 Mapping the Current Industrial Value Added 2.2 Simulating the Spatial Boundary of Future Industrial Value Added 2.3 Estimating Future Industrial Value Added 3 Results 4 Maps References 13 Mapping Global Road Networks 1 Introduction 2 Data 2.1 Global Road Distribution Data 2.2 Historical Data of Population, per Capita GDP, and Regional Area and Road Length 2.3 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Data 3 Method 4 Results 5 Maps References Global Change Risks 14 Mapping Global Risk of Heatwave Mortality Under Climate Change 1 Background 2 Method 2.1 Heatwave Intensity Metrics 2.2 Population Vulnerability 2.3 Mortality Risk Function 3 Results 3.1 Heatwave Intensity 3.2 Mortality Risk 4 Maps References 15 Mapping Global Risk of River Flood Mortality 1 Background 2 Method 2.1 Estimation of Risks 2.1.1 Estimation of Losses for the Baseline Period 2.1.2 Calculation of Adjustment Coefficients 2.1.3 Calculation of Future Losses and Change 2.2 Model Uncertainty 3 Results 4 Maps References 16 Mapping Global Risk of GDP Loss to River Floods 1 Background 2 Method 2.1 Estimation of Risks 2.1.1 Estimation of Losses for the Baseline Period 2.1.2 Calculation of Adjustment Coefficients 2.1.3 Calculation of Future Losses and Change 2.2 Model Uncertainty 3 Results 4 Maps References 17 Mapping Global Risk of Crop Yield Under Climate Change 1 Introduction 2 Method 2.1 Development of the Global Gridded Crop Model (GGCM) Emulators 2.2 Measuring the Yield Risk 3 Results 3.1 Wheat Yield Risk 3.2 Maize Yield Risk 3.3 Rice Yield Risk 4 Maps References Appendix_1 Introduction Models and Method References References Introduction Data Availability References References Introduction Conceptual Framework Technical Specifications Forcing and Scenarios Risk Metrics References References Design Concept Cartographic Units Technical Flowchart Cartographic Presentation Map Color Design Cartographic Specifications Cartographic Specifications Cartographic Specifications