Application of Frequency and Risk in Water Resources: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Flood Frequency and Risk Analyses, 14-17 May 1986, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, U. S. a

Floods constitute a persistent and serious problem throughout the United States and many other parts of the world. They are responsible for losses amounting to billions of dollars and scores of deaths annually. Virtually all parts of the nation--coastal, moun­ tainous and rural--are affected by them. Two aspects of the problem of flooding that have long been topics of scientific inquiry are flood frequency and risk analyses. Many new, even improved, tech­ niques have recently been developed for performing these analyses. Nevertheless, actual experience points out that the frequency of say a IOO-year flood, in lieu of being encountered on the average once in one hundred years, may be as little as once in 25 years. It is therefore appropriate to pause and ask where we are, where we are going and where we ought to be going with regard to the technology of flood frequency and risk analyses. One way to address these ques­ tions is to provide a forum where people from all quarters of the world can assemble, discuss and share their experience and expertise pertaining to flood frequency and risk analyses. This is what con­ stituted the motivation for organizing the International Symposium on Flood Frequency and Risk Analyses held May 14-17, 1986, at Louisiana State Universj. ty, Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Front Matter....Pages i-xii Research Needs on Flood Characteristics....Pages 1-21 Application of Probable Maximum Flood Estimates to the Design of Water Resource Development Projects....Pages 23-33 Heavy Rain Storm Floods in China and their Estimation....Pages 35-44 The Bayesian Framework for Inference in Flood Frequency Analysis....Pages 45-61 Development of Design Procedures for Extreme Floods in Australia....Pages 63-77 Design Flood for Cañafisto Dam....Pages 79-90 The Experiences of Design Flood of Reservoirs in Medium and Small Basins by the Method of Design Storm....Pages 91-100 Estimation of Design Flood....Pages 101-111 Design Flood Estimation for Narmada Sagar Project Using Partial Duration Series - A Case Study....Pages 113-122 Design Flood Computation with Limited Data - Case Study of a Reservoir in Subernrekha River Basin....Pages 123-137 Confidence Intervals for Design Flood Events under Different Statistical Flood Models....Pages 139-151 Use of Additional Historical Information for Estimation and Goodness of Fit of Flood Frequency Models....Pages 153-164 Extrapolation Error in Flood Frequency Analysis....Pages 165-174 Effect of Discharge Measurement Error in the Results of Flood Frequency Analysis....Pages 175-190 Some Researches on Determination of Return Period for Historical Flood in Analysis of Flood Frequency....Pages 191-197 Potential and Application of Flood Frequency Determinations....Pages 199-205 Flood Analyses Pertaining to Design of Nuclear Power Plants....Pages 207-217 Some Applications of Flood Frequency and Risk Information in Forest Management....Pages 219-226 Review of Advances in Risk and Reliability Analysis for Hydraulic Structures....Pages 227-262 Flood Risk Evaluation of Urban Rivers with Standard Equi-Risk Lines....Pages 263-282 The Evaluation of Financial Risk....Pages 283-291 Uncertainties in Flood Plain Mapping....Pages 293-303 Project Risk Considering Samplng Uncertainties and a Finite Project Operation Period....Pages 305-318 Optimal Planning of Flood Control Systems Based on Risk Analyses of Flood Inundation....Pages 319-333 Application of System Reliability Analysis to Flood Forecasting....Pages 335-350 A Stochastic Approach to Flood Damage Estimation....Pages 351-360 Flood Hazard Assessment on Alluvial Fans: An Examination of the Methodology....Pages 361-375 Flood Damage-Frequency Analysis of an Urbanizing Watershed....Pages 377-394 Flood Risk Bias Analysed through a Multi-State Flood Insurance Model....Pages 395-404 Corps of Engineers Procedures for Evaluating and Modifying Existing Dams to Safely Accommodate the Current Inflow Design Flood....Pages 405-409 Bureau of Reclamation use of Risk Analysis....Pages 411-428 TVA Practice in Flood Frequency and Risk Analysis....Pages 429-438 Nuclear Regulatory Commission Use of Flood Risk Analyses....Pages 439-441 Flood Risk Analysis for the National Flood Insurance Program....Pages 443-453 The National Weather Service Role in Flood Frequency and Risk Analysis....Pages 455-461 The Role of Flood-Frequency Analysis in the U.S. Geological Survey....Pages 463-484 Some Remarks on Practice of Flood Frequency and Risk Analysis by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission....Pages 485-489 Back Matter....Pages 491-502